Newcastle United F.C.vs
Arsenal F.C.Newcastle United F.C. vs Arsenal F.C. Prediction, H2H & Form
English Premier LeagueSat, 21 Nov 2026 17:30 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Our pick
Arsenal F.C. to win52%
1X2: model backs Arsenal F.C. at 52%.
- Newcastle United F.C.
- Draw
- Arsenal F.C.
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
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Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.
Double Chance
- Newcastle United F.C. or draw48%
- Draw or Arsenal F.C.79%
- Newcastle United F.C. or Arsenal F.C.73%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
- Over 2.554%
- Under 2.546%
Both teams to score
- Newcastle United F.C., last 10 home games9 of 10
- Arsenal F.C., last 10 away games5 of 10
- League rate, last 12 months (370 games)56%
Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.
Analysis
Both model families pick Arsenal F.C., rating it at 52.2% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and Newcastle United F.C. won 1 of 10, with 1 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.
Recent form
As of 13 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 39 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
Newcastle United F.C.: LWLWD
Arsenal F.C.: WLWWW
Head-to-head
As of 13 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 39 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 10Games
- 1.80Avg goals
- 20%Both scored
- 20%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-25 | Arsenal F.C. vs Newcastle United F.C. | 1–0 |
| 2025-09-28 | Newcastle United F.C. vs Arsenal F.C. | 1–2 |
| 2025-05-18 | Arsenal F.C. vs Newcastle United F.C. | 1–0 |
| 2024-11-02 | Newcastle United F.C. vs Arsenal F.C. | 1–0 |
| 2024-02-24 | Arsenal vs Newcastle | 4–1 |
| 2023-11-04 | Newcastle vs Arsenal | 1–0 |
| 2023-05-07 | Newcastle vs Arsenal | 0–2 |
| 2023-01-03 | Arsenal vs Newcastle | 0–0 |
| 2022-05-16 | Newcastle vs Arsenal | 2–0 |
| 2021-11-27 | Arsenal vs Newcastle | 2–0 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Newcastle United F.C. vs Arsenal F.C.?
- Tofiko's model favours Arsenal F.C. (52% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Newcastle United F.C. vs Arsenal F.C. kick off?
- Sat, 21 Nov 2026 17:30 GMT — English Premier League.
- What is the Newcastle United F.C. vs Arsenal F.C. head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 7 home wins, 1 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 1.80 goals per game.