Newcastle United F.C.vs
Arsenal F.C.Newcastle United F.C. vs Arsenal F.C. Prediction, H2H & Stats
English Premier LeagueSat, 21 Nov 2026 15:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Arsenal F.C.52%
- Newcastle United F.C. 21%
- Draw 27%
- Arsenal F.C. 52%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick Arsenal F.C., rating it at 52.2%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and Newcastle United F.C. won 1 of 10, with 1 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
Newcastle United F.C.: LDWLW
Arsenal F.C.: WDWWW
Head-to-head
- 10Games
- 1.80Avg goals
- 20%Both scored
- 20%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-25 | Arsenal F.C. vs Newcastle United F.C. | 1–0 |
| 2025-09-28 | Newcastle United F.C. vs Arsenal F.C. | 1–2 |
| 2025-05-18 | Arsenal F.C. vs Newcastle United F.C. | 1–0 |
| 2024-11-02 | Newcastle United F.C. vs Arsenal F.C. | 1–0 |
| 2024-02-24 | Arsenal vs Newcastle | 4–1 |
| 2023-11-04 | Newcastle vs Arsenal | 1–0 |
| 2023-05-07 | Newcastle vs Arsenal | 0–2 |
| 2023-01-03 | Arsenal vs Newcastle | 0–0 |
| 2022-05-16 | Newcastle vs Arsenal | 2–0 |
| 2021-11-27 | Arsenal vs Newcastle | 2–0 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Newcastle United F.C. vs Arsenal F.C.?
- Tofiko's model favours Arsenal F.C. (52% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Newcastle United F.C. vs Arsenal F.C. kick off?
- Sat, 21 Nov 2026 15:00 GMT — English Premier League.
- What is the Newcastle United F.C. vs Arsenal F.C. head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 7 home wins, 1 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 1.80 goals per game.