Manchester City F.C. vs Fulham F.C. Prediction, H2H & Stats
English Premier LeagueSat, 21 Nov 2026 15:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Manchester City F.C.73%
- Manchester City F.C. 73%
- Draw 18%
- Fulham F.C. 9%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick Manchester City F.C., rating it at 72.8%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and Manchester City F.C. won 4 of 10. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
The model puts the draw at 18.2%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
Manchester City F.C.: DLDWW
Fulham F.C.: DWDLL
Head-to-head
- 10Games
- 4.00Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 80%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-11 | Manchester City F.C. vs Fulham F.C. | 3–0 |
| 2025-12-02 | Fulham F.C. vs Manchester City F.C. | 4–5 |
| 2025-05-25 | Fulham F.C. vs Manchester City F.C. | 0–2 |
| 2024-10-05 | Manchester City F.C. vs Fulham F.C. | 3–2 |
| 2024-05-11 | Fulham vs Manchester City | 0–4 |
| 2023-09-02 | Manchester City vs Fulham | 5–1 |
| 2023-04-30 | Fulham vs Manchester City | 1–2 |
| 2022-11-05 | Manchester City vs Fulham | 2–1 |
| 2021-03-13 | Fulham vs Manchester City | 0–3 |
| 2020-12-05 | Manchester City vs Fulham | 2–0 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Manchester City F.C. vs Fulham F.C.?
- Tofiko's model favours Manchester City F.C. (73% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Manchester City F.C. vs Fulham F.C. kick off?
- Sat, 21 Nov 2026 15:00 GMT — English Premier League.
- What is the Manchester City F.C. vs Fulham F.C. head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 5 home wins, 0 draws, 5 away wins, averaging 4.00 goals per game.