Aston Villa F.C.vs
Sunderland A.F.C.Aston Villa F.C. vs Sunderland A.F.C. Prediction, H2H & Form
English Premier LeagueSat, 21 Nov 2026 15:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Our pick
Aston Villa F.C. or draw81%
1X2: model backs Aston Villa F.C. at 50% — under 50%, so the pick covers the draw too.
- Aston Villa F.C.
- Draw
- Sunderland A.F.C.
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Free. Saves this pick to My Picks, settles it when the match ends, and can email you an hour before kick-off and with the result — if you say yes.
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Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.
Double Chance
- Aston Villa F.C. or draw81%
- Draw or Sunderland A.F.C.50%
- Aston Villa F.C. or Sunderland A.F.C.69%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
- Over 2.543%
- Under 2.557%
Both teams to score
- Aston Villa F.C., last 10 home games6 of 10
- Sunderland A.F.C., last 10 away games8 of 10
- League rate, last 12 months (370 games)56%
Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.
Analysis
Both model families pick Aston Villa F.C., rating it at 49.6% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 2 times, and Aston Villa F.C. won 1 of 2, with 1 drawn. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast.
What to keep in mind
- Aston Villa F.C.'s games are very high-scoring at 4.0 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
Recent form
As of 13 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 39 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
Aston Villa F.C.: DWWWL
Sunderland A.F.C.: LLWLW
Head-to-head
As of 13 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 39 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 2Games
- 4.50Avg goals
- 100%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-19 | Aston Villa F.C. vs Sunderland A.F.C. | 4–3 |
| 2025-09-21 | Sunderland A.F.C. vs Aston Villa F.C. | 1–1 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Aston Villa F.C. vs Sunderland A.F.C.?
- Tofiko's model favours Aston Villa F.C. (50% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Aston Villa F.C. vs Sunderland A.F.C. kick off?
- Sat, 21 Nov 2026 15:00 GMT — English Premier League.
- What is the Aston Villa F.C. vs Sunderland A.F.C. head-to-head record?
- In their last 2 meetings: 1 home wins, 1 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 4.50 goals per game.