Aston Villa F.C. vs Sunderland A.F.C. Prediction, H2H & Stats
English Premier LeagueSat, 21 Nov 2026 15:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Aston Villa F.C.50%
- Aston Villa F.C. 50%
- Draw 31%
- Sunderland A.F.C. 19%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick Aston Villa F.C., rating it at 49.6%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 2 times, and Aston Villa F.C. won 1 of 2, with 1 drawn. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 49.6% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Aston Villa F.C.'s games are very high-scoring at 4.2 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
Aston Villa F.C.: WLLWW
Sunderland A.F.C.: LLWWW
Head-to-head
- 2Games
- 4.50Avg goals
- 100%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-19 | Aston Villa F.C. vs Sunderland A.F.C. | 4–3 |
| 2025-09-21 | Sunderland A.F.C. vs Aston Villa F.C. | 1–1 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Aston Villa F.C. vs Sunderland A.F.C.?
- Tofiko's model favours Aston Villa F.C. (50% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Aston Villa F.C. vs Sunderland A.F.C. kick off?
- Sat, 21 Nov 2026 15:00 GMT — English Premier League.
- What is the Aston Villa F.C. vs Sunderland A.F.C. head-to-head record?
- In their last 2 meetings: 1 home wins, 1 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 4.50 goals per game.