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Aston Villa F.C. crestAston Villa F.C.vsSunderland A.F.C. crestSunderland A.F.C.

Aston Villa F.C. vs Sunderland A.F.C. Prediction, H2H & Stats

English Premier LeagueSat, 21 Nov 2026 15:00 GMTStatus: scheduled

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Aston Villa F.C.50%

Aston Villa F.C. 50%
Draw 31%
Sunderland A.F.C. 19%
  • Aston Villa F.C. 50%
  • Draw 31%
  • Sunderland A.F.C. 19%

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

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Analysis

Both model families pick Aston Villa F.C., rating it at 49.6%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 2 times, and Aston Villa F.C. won 1 of 2, with 1 drawn. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 49.6% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • Aston Villa F.C.'s games are very high-scoring at 4.2 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

Aston Villa F.C.: WLLWW

Sunderland A.F.C.: LLWWW

Head-to-head

  • 2Games
  • 4.50Avg goals
  • 100%Both scored
  • 50%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-04-19Aston Villa F.C. vs Sunderland A.F.C.4–3
2025-09-21Sunderland A.F.C. vs Aston Villa F.C.1–1

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FAQ

Who will win Aston Villa F.C. vs Sunderland A.F.C.?
Tofiko's model favours Aston Villa F.C. (50% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Aston Villa F.C. vs Sunderland A.F.C. kick off?
Sat, 21 Nov 2026 15:00 GMT — English Premier League.
What is the Aston Villa F.C. vs Sunderland A.F.C. head-to-head record?
In their last 2 meetings: 1 home wins, 1 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 4.50 goals per game.

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