Liverpool F.C. vs Tottenham Hotspur F.C. Prediction, H2H & Stats
English Premier LeagueSat, 19 Dec 2026 15:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Liverpool F.C.64%
- Liverpool F.C. 64%
- Draw 22%
- Tottenham Hotspur F.C. 14%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick Liverpool F.C., rating it at 64.3%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and Liverpool F.C. won 3 of 10, with 3 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
They arrive from very different football. Liverpool F.C.'s last 5 produced 17 goals — 3.4 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 4. Tottenham Hotspur F.C.'s 5 produced 9, at 1.8 per game.
The model puts the draw at 21.9%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
Liverpool F.C.: WWDLD
Tottenham Hotspur F.C.: WDWWW
Head-to-head
- 10Games
- 4.50Avg goals
- 100%Both scored
- 80%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-15 | Liverpool F.C. vs Tottenham Hotspur F.C. | 1–1 |
| 2025-12-20 | Tottenham Hotspur F.C. vs Liverpool F.C. | 1–2 |
| 2025-04-27 | Liverpool F.C. vs Tottenham Hotspur F.C. | 5–1 |
| 2024-12-22 | Tottenham Hotspur F.C. vs Liverpool F.C. | 3–6 |
| 2024-05-05 | Liverpool vs Tottenham Hotspur | 4–2 |
| 2023-09-30 | Tottenham Hotspur vs Liverpool | 2–1 |
| 2023-04-30 | Liverpool vs Tottenham Hotspur | 4–3 |
| 2022-11-06 | Tottenham Hotspur vs Liverpool | 1–2 |
| 2022-05-07 | Liverpool vs Tottenham Hotspur | 1–1 |
| 2021-12-19 | Tottenham Hotspur vs Liverpool | 2–2 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Liverpool F.C. vs Tottenham Hotspur F.C.?
- Tofiko's model favours Liverpool F.C. (64% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Liverpool F.C. vs Tottenham Hotspur F.C. kick off?
- Sat, 19 Dec 2026 15:00 GMT — English Premier League.
- What is the Liverpool F.C. vs Tottenham Hotspur F.C. head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 4 home wins, 3 draws, 3 away wins, averaging 4.50 goals per game.