Luton Town crestLuton TownvsWest Ham United crestWest Ham United

Luton Town 1-2 West Ham United — Result, H2H & Form

English Premier League 2023-2024Fri, 01 Sep 2023 19:00 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs West Ham United44%

Tofiko34% / 21% / 44%
Market22% / 26% / 52%
  • Luton Town
  • Draw
  • West Ham United

Our number and the market's own, side by side. Where they differ most, our record has been worst, so a difference is not a tip.

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✓ Model called this one correctly.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick West Ham United, rating it at 44.2% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 2 times, and Luton Town won none of them. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast.

They arrive from very different football. West Ham United's last 5 produced 23 goals — 4.6 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 3. Luton Town's 5 produced 14, at 2.8 per game.

What to keep in mind

  • West Ham United's games are very high-scoring at 4.6 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.

Recent form

As of 24 Sep 2026.

Luton Town: WLLDW

West Ham United: DLWWW

Head-to-head

As of 24 Sep 2026.

  • 2Games
  • 3.50Avg goals
  • 100%Both scored
  • 100%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2024-05-11West Ham United vs Luton Town3–1
2023-09-01Luton Town vs West Ham United1–2

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FAQ

Who will win Luton Town vs West Ham United?
Tofiko's model favours West Ham United (44% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Luton Town vs West Ham United kick off?
Fri, 01 Sep 2023 19:00 GMT — English Premier League 2023-2024.
What is the Luton Town vs West Ham United head-to-head record?
In their last 2 meetings: 1 home wins, 0 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 3.50 goals per game.

More predictions

Line-ups are not included; check them an hour before kick-off.

18+ · Please gamble responsibly. Predictions are analysis, not betting advice.

First legWest Ham 3-1 Luton11 May 2024 →