West Ham United crestWest Ham UnitedvsLuton Town crestLuton Town

West Ham United 3-1 Luton Town — Result, H2H & Form

English Premier League 2023-2024Sat, 11 May 2024 14:00 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs West Ham United61%

Tofiko61% / 20% / 20%
Market59% / 21% / 20%
  • West Ham United
  • Draw
  • Luton Town

Our number and the market's own, side by side. Where they differ most, our record has been worst, so a difference is not a tip.

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✓ Model called this one correctly.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick West Ham United, rating it at 60.7% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 2 times, and West Ham United won all of them. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast.

They arrive from very different football. West Ham United's last 5 produced 23 goals — 4.6 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 3. Luton Town's 5 produced 14, at 2.8 per game.

What to keep in mind

  • West Ham United's games are very high-scoring at 4.6 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.

Recent form

As of 24 Sep 2026.

West Ham United: DLWWW

Luton Town: WLLDW

Head-to-head

As of 24 Sep 2026.

  • 2Games
  • 3.50Avg goals
  • 100%Both scored
  • 100%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2024-05-11West Ham United vs Luton Town3–1
2023-09-01Luton Town vs West Ham United1–2

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FAQ

Who will win West Ham United vs Luton Town?
Tofiko's model favours West Ham United (61% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does West Ham United vs Luton Town kick off?
Sat, 11 May 2024 14:00 GMT — English Premier League 2023-2024.
What is the West Ham United vs Luton Town head-to-head record?
In their last 2 meetings: 1 home wins, 0 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 3.50 goals per game.

More predictions

Line-ups are not included; check them an hour before kick-off.

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First legLuton 1-2 West Ham1 Sept 2023 →