Brighton & Hove Albion F.C. vs Manchester City F.C. Prediction, H2H & Form
English Premier LeagueSat, 23 Jan 2027 15:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Our pick
Manchester City F.C. to win58%
1X2: model backs Manchester City F.C. at 58%.
- Brighton & Hove Albion F.C.
- Draw
- Manchester City F.C.
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
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Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.
Double Chance
- Brighton & Hove Albion F.C. or draw42%
- Draw or Manchester City F.C.82%
- Brighton & Hove Albion F.C. or Manchester City F.C.76%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
- Over 2.556%
- Under 2.544%
Both teams to score
- Brighton & Hove Albion F.C., last 10 home games2 of 10
- Manchester City F.C., last 10 away games4 of 10
- League rate, last 12 months (370 games)56%
Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.
Analysis
Both model families pick Manchester City F.C., rating it at 57.6% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and Brighton & Hove Albion F.C. won 2 of 10, with 3 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.
Recent form
As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 102 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
Brighton & Hove Albion F.C.: WWWWD
Manchester City F.C.: WWWWW
Head-to-head
As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 102 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 10Games
- 3.30Avg goals
- 80%Both scored
- 80%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-07 | Manchester City F.C. vs Brighton & Hove Albion F.C. | 1–1 |
| 2025-08-31 | Brighton & Hove Albion F.C. vs Manchester City F.C. | 2–1 |
| 2025-03-15 | Manchester City F.C. vs Brighton & Hove Albion F.C. | 2–2 |
| 2024-11-09 | Brighton & Hove Albion F.C. vs Manchester City F.C. | 2–1 |
| 2024-04-25 | Brighton & Hove Albion vs Manchester City | 0–4 |
| 2023-10-21 | Manchester City vs Brighton & Hove Albion | 2–1 |
| 2023-05-24 | Brighton & Hove Albion vs Manchester City | 1–1 |
| 2022-10-22 | Manchester City vs Brighton & Hove Albion | 3–1 |
| 2022-04-20 | Manchester City vs Brighton & Hove Albion | 3–0 |
| 2021-10-23 | Brighton & Hove Albion vs Manchester City | 1–4 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Brighton & Hove Albion F.C. vs Manchester City F.C.?
- Tofiko's model favours Manchester City F.C. (58% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Brighton & Hove Albion F.C. vs Manchester City F.C. kick off?
- Sat, 23 Jan 2027 15:00 GMT — English Premier League.
- What is the Brighton & Hove Albion F.C. vs Manchester City F.C. head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 5 home wins, 3 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 3.30 goals per game.