Manchester City F.C.vs
Chelsea F.C.Manchester City F.C. vs Chelsea F.C. Prediction, H2H & Form
English Premier LeagueSat, 12 Dec 2026 15:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Manchester City F.C.66%
- Manchester City F.C.
- Draw
- Chelsea F.C.
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick Manchester City F.C., rating it at 65.8% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and Manchester City F.C. won 4 of 10, with 3 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.
They arrive from very different football. Chelsea F.C.'s last 5 produced 26 goals — 5.2 per game; they scored in 4 of them and conceded in 5. Manchester City F.C.'s 5 produced 17, at 3.4 per game.
What to keep in mind
- Chelsea F.C.'s games are very high-scoring at 5.2 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
Recent form
As of 23 Sep 2026. Kickoff is still 80 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
Manchester City F.C.: WWWWW
Chelsea F.C.: LDWLW
Head-to-head
As of 23 Sep 2026. Kickoff is still 80 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 10Games
- 2.50Avg goals
- 40%Both scored
- 30%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-16 | Chelsea F.C.(N) vs Manchester City F.C. | 0–1 |
| 2026-04-12 | Chelsea F.C. vs Manchester City F.C. | 0–3 |
| 2026-01-04 | Manchester City F.C. vs Chelsea F.C. | 1–1 |
| 2025-01-25 | Manchester City F.C. vs Chelsea F.C. | 3–1 |
| 2024-08-18 | Chelsea F.C. vs Manchester City F.C. | 0–2 |
| 2024-02-17 | Manchester City vs Chelsea FC | 1–1 |
| 2023-11-12 | Chelsea FC vs Manchester City | 4–4 |
| 2023-05-21 | Manchester City vs Chelsea FC | 1–0 |
| 2023-01-05 | Chelsea FC vs Manchester City | 0–1 |
| 2022-01-15 | Manchester City vs Chelsea FC | 1–0 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Manchester City F.C. vs Chelsea F.C.?
- Tofiko's model favours Manchester City F.C. (66% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Manchester City F.C. vs Chelsea F.C. kick off?
- Sat, 12 Dec 2026 15:00 GMT — English Premier League.
- What is the Manchester City F.C. vs Chelsea F.C. head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 3 home wins, 3 draws, 4 away wins, averaging 2.50 goals per game.