Newcastle United F.C. crestNewcastle United F.C.vsCrystal Palace F.C. crestCrystal Palace F.C.

Newcastle United F.C. vs Crystal Palace F.C. Prediction, H2H & Form

English Premier LeagueSun, 23 May 2027 14:00 GMTStatus: scheduled

Tofiko prediction

Our pick

Newcastle United F.C. to win52%

1X2: model backs Newcastle United F.C. at 52%.

Tofiko52% / 28% / 20%
  • Newcastle United F.C.
  • Draw
  • Crystal Palace F.C.

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

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Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.

Double Chance

  • Newcastle United F.C. or draw80%
  • Draw or Crystal Palace F.C.48%
  • Newcastle United F.C. or Crystal Palace F.C.72%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

  • Over 2.553%
  • Under 2.547%

Both teams to score

  • Newcastle United F.C., last 10 home games9 of 10
  • Crystal Palace F.C., last 10 away games3 of 10
  • League rate, last 12 months (370 games)56%

Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.

Analysis

Both model families pick Newcastle United F.C., rating it at 52.2% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 10 times, and Newcastle United F.C. won 2 of 10, with 4 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.

Recent form

As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 221 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.

Newcastle United F.C.: LWLWD

Crystal Palace F.C.: WLDWL

Head-to-head

As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 221 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.

  • 10Games
  • 2.10Avg goals
  • 30%Both scored
  • 30%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-04-12Crystal Palace F.C. vs Newcastle United F.C.2–1
2026-01-04Newcastle United F.C. vs Crystal Palace F.C.2–0
2025-04-16Newcastle United F.C. vs Crystal Palace F.C.5–0
2024-11-30Crystal Palace F.C. vs Newcastle United F.C.1–1
2024-04-24Crystal Palace vs Newcastle2–0
2023-10-21Newcastle vs Crystal Palace4–0
2023-01-21Crystal Palace vs Newcastle0–0
2022-09-03Newcastle vs Crystal Palace0–0
2022-04-20Newcastle vs Crystal Palace1–0
2021-10-23Crystal Palace vs Newcastle1–1

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FAQ

Who will win Newcastle United F.C. vs Crystal Palace F.C.?
Tofiko's model favours Newcastle United F.C. (52% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Newcastle United F.C. vs Crystal Palace F.C. kick off?
Sun, 23 May 2027 14:00 GMT — English Premier League.
What is the Newcastle United F.C. vs Crystal Palace F.C. head-to-head record?
In their last 10 meetings: 6 home wins, 4 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 2.10 goals per game.

More predictions

Line-ups are not included; check them an hour before kick-off.

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Reverse fixtureCrystal Palace vs Newcastle25 Oct 2026 →