Newcastle United F.C. vs Crystal Palace F.C. Prediction, H2H & Form
English Premier LeagueSun, 23 May 2027 14:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Our pick
Newcastle United F.C. to win52%
1X2: model backs Newcastle United F.C. at 52%.
- Newcastle United F.C.
- Draw
- Crystal Palace F.C.
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Free. Saves this pick to My Picks, settles it when the match ends, and can email you an hour before kick-off and with the result — if you say yes.
More markets
Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.
Double Chance
- Newcastle United F.C. or draw80%
- Draw or Crystal Palace F.C.48%
- Newcastle United F.C. or Crystal Palace F.C.72%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
- Over 2.553%
- Under 2.547%
Both teams to score
- Newcastle United F.C., last 10 home games9 of 10
- Crystal Palace F.C., last 10 away games3 of 10
- League rate, last 12 months (370 games)56%
Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.
Analysis
Both model families pick Newcastle United F.C., rating it at 52.2% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and Newcastle United F.C. won 2 of 10, with 4 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.
Recent form
As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 221 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
Newcastle United F.C.: LWLWD
Crystal Palace F.C.: WLDWL
Head-to-head
As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 221 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 10Games
- 2.10Avg goals
- 30%Both scored
- 30%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-12 | Crystal Palace F.C. vs Newcastle United F.C. | 2–1 |
| 2026-01-04 | Newcastle United F.C. vs Crystal Palace F.C. | 2–0 |
| 2025-04-16 | Newcastle United F.C. vs Crystal Palace F.C. | 5–0 |
| 2024-11-30 | Crystal Palace F.C. vs Newcastle United F.C. | 1–1 |
| 2024-04-24 | Crystal Palace vs Newcastle | 2–0 |
| 2023-10-21 | Newcastle vs Crystal Palace | 4–0 |
| 2023-01-21 | Crystal Palace vs Newcastle | 0–0 |
| 2022-09-03 | Newcastle vs Crystal Palace | 0–0 |
| 2022-04-20 | Newcastle vs Crystal Palace | 1–0 |
| 2021-10-23 | Crystal Palace vs Newcastle | 1–1 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Newcastle United F.C. vs Crystal Palace F.C.?
- Tofiko's model favours Newcastle United F.C. (52% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Newcastle United F.C. vs Crystal Palace F.C. kick off?
- Sun, 23 May 2027 14:00 GMT — English Premier League.
- What is the Newcastle United F.C. vs Crystal Palace F.C. head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 6 home wins, 4 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 2.10 goals per game.