Newcastle United F.C.vs
Manchester City F.C.Newcastle United F.C. vs Manchester City F.C. Prediction, H2H & Form
English Premier LeagueSat, 26 Dec 2026 20:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Our pick
Manchester City F.C. to win58%
1X2: model backs Manchester City F.C. at 58%.
- Newcastle United F.C.
- Draw
- Manchester City F.C.
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
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Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.
Double Chance
- Newcastle United F.C. or draw42%
- Draw or Manchester City F.C.82%
- Newcastle United F.C. or Manchester City F.C.76%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
- Over 2.560%
- Under 2.540%
Both teams to score
- Newcastle United F.C., last 10 home games9 of 10
- Manchester City F.C., last 10 away games4 of 10
- League rate, last 12 months (370 games)56%
Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.
Analysis
Both model families pick Manchester City F.C., rating it at 58.4% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and Newcastle United F.C. won 1 of 10, with 2 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.
Recent form
As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 74 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
Newcastle United F.C.: LWLWD
Manchester City F.C.: WWWWW
Head-to-head
As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 74 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 10Games
- 3.50Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 70%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-21 | Manchester City F.C. vs Newcastle United F.C. | 2–1 |
| 2025-11-22 | Newcastle United F.C. vs Manchester City F.C. | 2–1 |
| 2025-02-15 | Manchester City F.C. vs Newcastle United F.C. | 4–0 |
| 2024-09-28 | Newcastle United F.C. vs Manchester City F.C. | 1–1 |
| 2024-01-13 | Newcastle vs Manchester City | 2–3 |
| 2023-08-19 | Manchester City vs Newcastle | 1–0 |
| 2023-03-04 | Manchester City vs Newcastle | 2–0 |
| 2022-08-21 | Newcastle vs Manchester City | 3–3 |
| 2022-05-08 | Manchester City vs Newcastle | 5–0 |
| 2021-12-19 | Newcastle vs Manchester City | 0–4 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Newcastle United F.C. vs Manchester City F.C.?
- Tofiko's model favours Manchester City F.C. (58% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Newcastle United F.C. vs Manchester City F.C. kick off?
- Sat, 26 Dec 2026 20:00 GMT — English Premier League.
- What is the Newcastle United F.C. vs Manchester City F.C. head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 6 home wins, 2 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 3.50 goals per game.