Nottingham Forest F.C.vs
Arsenal F.C.Nottingham Forest F.C. vs Arsenal F.C. Prediction, H2H & Stats
English Premier LeagueSat, 17 Oct 2026 14:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Arsenal F.C.58%
- Nottingham Forest F.C. 17%
- Draw 26%
- Arsenal F.C. 58%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick Arsenal F.C., rating it at 57.8%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 8 times, and Nottingham Forest F.C. won none of them. Across 8 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
They arrive from very different football. Nottingham Forest F.C.'s last 5 produced 20 goals — 4.0 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 4. Arsenal F.C.'s 5 produced 12, at 2.4 per game.
The model puts the draw at 25.6%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Nottingham Forest F.C.'s games are very high-scoring at 4.0 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
Nottingham Forest F.C.: LWDLW
Arsenal F.C.: WDWWW
Head-to-head
- 8Games
- 2.25Avg goals
- 25%Both scored
- 63%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-17 | Nottingham Forest F.C. vs Arsenal F.C. | 0–0 |
| 2025-09-13 | Arsenal F.C. vs Nottingham Forest F.C. | 3–0 |
| 2025-02-26 | Nottingham Forest F.C. vs Arsenal F.C. | 0–0 |
| 2024-11-23 | Arsenal F.C. vs Nottingham Forest F.C. | 3–0 |
| 2024-01-30 | Nottingham Forest vs Arsenal | 1–2 |
| 2023-08-12 | Arsenal vs Nottingham Forest | 2–1 |
| 2023-05-20 | Nottingham Forest vs Arsenal | 1–0 |
| 2022-10-30 | Arsenal vs Nottingham Forest | 5–0 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Nottingham Forest F.C. vs Arsenal F.C.?
- Tofiko's model favours Arsenal F.C. (58% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Nottingham Forest F.C. vs Arsenal F.C. kick off?
- Sat, 17 Oct 2026 14:00 GMT — English Premier League.
- What is the Nottingham Forest F.C. vs Arsenal F.C. head-to-head record?
- In their last 8 meetings: 5 home wins, 2 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 2.25 goals per game.