Newcastle United F.C. vs Aston Villa F.C. Prediction, H2H & Form
English Premier LeagueSat, 17 Oct 2026 16:30 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Newcastle United F.C.41%
- Newcastle United F.C.
- Draw
- Aston Villa F.C.
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick Newcastle United F.C., rating it at 40.8% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and Newcastle United F.C. won 1 of 10, with 1 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.
Recent form
As of 23 Sep 2026. Kickoff is still 24 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
Newcastle United F.C.: WLWDW
Aston Villa F.C.: WWLWD
Head-to-head
As of 23 Sep 2026. Kickoff is still 24 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 10Games
- 3.00Avg goals
- 30%Both scored
- 60%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-25 | Newcastle United F.C. vs Aston Villa F.C. | 0–2 |
| 2025-08-16 | Aston Villa F.C. vs Newcastle United F.C. | 0–0 |
| 2025-04-19 | Aston Villa F.C. vs Newcastle United F.C. | 4–1 |
| 2024-12-26 | Newcastle United F.C. vs Aston Villa F.C. | 3–0 |
| 2024-01-30 | Aston Villa vs Newcastle | 1–3 |
| 2023-08-12 | Newcastle vs Aston Villa | 5–1 |
| 2023-04-15 | Aston Villa vs Newcastle | 3–0 |
| 2022-10-29 | Newcastle vs Aston Villa | 4–0 |
| 2022-02-13 | Newcastle vs Aston Villa | 1–0 |
| 2021-08-21 | Aston Villa vs Newcastle | 2–0 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Newcastle United F.C. vs Aston Villa F.C.?
- Tofiko's model favours Newcastle United F.C. (41% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Newcastle United F.C. vs Aston Villa F.C. kick off?
- Sat, 17 Oct 2026 16:30 GMT — English Premier League.
- What is the Newcastle United F.C. vs Aston Villa F.C. head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 7 home wins, 1 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 3.00 goals per game.