Newcastle United F.C.vs
Aston Villa F.C.Newcastle United F.C. vs Aston Villa F.C. Prediction, H2H & Stats
English Premier LeagueSat, 17 Oct 2026 14:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Newcastle United F.C.41%
- Newcastle United F.C. 41%
- Draw 28%
- Aston Villa F.C. 31%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick Newcastle United F.C., rating it at 40.8%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and Newcastle United F.C. won 1 of 10, with 1 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Aston Villa F.C.'s games are very high-scoring at 4.2 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
Newcastle United F.C.: LDWLW
Aston Villa F.C.: WLLWW
Head-to-head
- 10Games
- 3.00Avg goals
- 30%Both scored
- 60%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-25 | Newcastle United F.C. vs Aston Villa F.C. | 0–2 |
| 2025-08-16 | Aston Villa F.C. vs Newcastle United F.C. | 0–0 |
| 2025-04-19 | Aston Villa F.C. vs Newcastle United F.C. | 4–1 |
| 2024-12-26 | Newcastle United F.C. vs Aston Villa F.C. | 3–0 |
| 2024-01-30 | Aston Villa vs Newcastle | 1–3 |
| 2023-08-12 | Newcastle vs Aston Villa | 5–1 |
| 2023-04-15 | Aston Villa vs Newcastle | 3–0 |
| 2022-10-29 | Newcastle vs Aston Villa | 4–0 |
| 2022-02-13 | Newcastle vs Aston Villa | 1–0 |
| 2021-08-21 | Aston Villa vs Newcastle | 2–0 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Newcastle United F.C. vs Aston Villa F.C.?
- Tofiko's model favours Newcastle United F.C. (41% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Newcastle United F.C. vs Aston Villa F.C. kick off?
- Sat, 17 Oct 2026 14:00 GMT — English Premier League.
- What is the Newcastle United F.C. vs Aston Villa F.C. head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 7 home wins, 1 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 3.00 goals per game.