Newcastle United F.C. crestNewcastle United F.C.vsAston Villa F.C. crestAston Villa F.C.

Newcastle United F.C. vs Aston Villa F.C. Prediction, H2H & Form

English Premier LeagueSat, 17 Oct 2026 16:30 GMTStatus: scheduled

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Newcastle United F.C.41%

Tofiko41% / 28% / 31%
  • Newcastle United F.C.
  • Draw
  • Aston Villa F.C.

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

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Analysis

Both model families pick Newcastle United F.C., rating it at 40.8% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 10 times, and Newcastle United F.C. won 1 of 10, with 1 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.

Recent form

As of 23 Sep 2026. Kickoff is still 24 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.

Newcastle United F.C.: WLWDW

Aston Villa F.C.: WWLWD

Head-to-head

As of 23 Sep 2026. Kickoff is still 24 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.

  • 10Games
  • 3.00Avg goals
  • 30%Both scored
  • 60%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-01-25Newcastle United F.C. vs Aston Villa F.C.0–2
2025-08-16Aston Villa F.C. vs Newcastle United F.C.0–0
2025-04-19Aston Villa F.C. vs Newcastle United F.C.4–1
2024-12-26Newcastle United F.C. vs Aston Villa F.C.3–0
2024-01-30Aston Villa vs Newcastle1–3
2023-08-12Newcastle vs Aston Villa5–1
2023-04-15Aston Villa vs Newcastle3–0
2022-10-29Newcastle vs Aston Villa4–0
2022-02-13Newcastle vs Aston Villa1–0
2021-08-21Aston Villa vs Newcastle2–0

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FAQ

Who will win Newcastle United F.C. vs Aston Villa F.C.?
Tofiko's model favours Newcastle United F.C. (41% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Newcastle United F.C. vs Aston Villa F.C. kick off?
Sat, 17 Oct 2026 16:30 GMT — English Premier League.
What is the Newcastle United F.C. vs Aston Villa F.C. head-to-head record?
In their last 10 meetings: 7 home wins, 1 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 3.00 goals per game.

More predictions

Line-ups are not included; check them an hour before kick-off.

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Reverse fixtureAston Villa vs Newcastle15 May 2027 →