Leeds United F.C.vs
Manchester United F.C.Leeds United F.C. vs Manchester United F.C. Prediction, H2H & Form
English Premier LeagueSun, 18 Oct 2026 13:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Manchester United F.C.42%
- Leeds United F.C.
- Draw
- Manchester United F.C.
Model families: split (goals models vs Elo)
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Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.
Double Chance
- Leeds United F.C. or draw58%
- Draw or Manchester United F.C.65%
- Leeds United F.C. or Manchester United F.C.77%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
- Over 2.558%
- Under 2.542%
Both teams to score
- Leeds United F.C., last 10 home games3 of 10
- Manchester United F.C., last 10 away games4 of 10
- League rate, last 12 months (370 games)56%
Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.
Analysis
Our model families split, but the ensemble picks Manchester United F.C., rating it at 41.7% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 9 times, and Leeds United F.C. won 1 of 9, with 4 drawn. Across 9 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.
What to keep in mind
- Our number and the market's own, side by side. Where they differ most, our record has been worst, so a difference is not a tip.
Recent form
As of 13 Oct 2026.
Leeds United F.C.: LDWLD
Manchester United F.C.: DDLLW
Head-to-head
As of 13 Oct 2026.
- 9Games
- 3.67Avg goals
- 78%Both scored
- 56%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-12 | Manchester United F.C. vs Leeds United F.C. | 1–1 |
| 2026-04-13 | Manchester United F.C. vs Leeds United F.C. | 1–2 |
| 2026-01-04 | Leeds United F.C. vs Manchester United F.C. | 1–1 |
| 2023-02-12 | Leeds United vs Manchester United | 0–2 |
| 2023-02-08 | Manchester United vs Leeds United | 2–2 |
| 2022-02-20 | Leeds United vs Manchester United | 2–4 |
| 2021-08-14 | Manchester United vs Leeds United | 5–1 |
| 2021-04-25 | Leeds United vs Manchester United | 0–0 |
| 2020-12-20 | Manchester United vs Leeds United | 6–2 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Leeds United F.C. vs Manchester United F.C.?
- Tofiko's model favours Manchester United F.C. (42% probability), though our model families split on this one.
- What time does Leeds United F.C. vs Manchester United F.C. kick off?
- Sun, 18 Oct 2026 13:00 GMT — English Premier League.
- What is the Leeds United F.C. vs Manchester United F.C. head-to-head record?
- In their last 9 meetings: 2 home wins, 4 draws, 3 away wins, averaging 3.67 goals per game.