AFC Bournemouthvs
Sunderland A.F.C.AFC Bournemouth vs Sunderland A.F.C. Prediction, H2H & Form
English Premier LeagueSun, 18 Oct 2026 13:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Our pick
AFC Bournemouth or draw73%
1X2: model backs AFC Bournemouth at 48% — under 50%, so the pick covers the draw too.
- AFC Bournemouth
- Draw
- Sunderland A.F.C.
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Free. Saves this pick to My Picks, settles it when the match ends, and can email you an hour before kick-off and with the result — if you say yes.
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Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.
Double Chance
- AFC Bournemouth or draw73%
- Draw or Sunderland A.F.C.52%
- AFC Bournemouth or Sunderland A.F.C.75%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
- Over 2.547%
- Under 2.553%
Both teams to score
- AFC Bournemouth, last 10 home games7 of 10
- Sunderland A.F.C., last 10 away games8 of 10
- League rate, last 12 months (370 games)56%
Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.
Analysis
Both model families pick AFC Bournemouth, rating it at 48.0% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 2 times, and AFC Bournemouth won none of them. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast.
What to keep in mind
- Our number and the market's own, side by side. Where they differ most, our record has been worst, so a difference is not a tip.
- The head-to-head record doesn't support the forecast: 2 games, no win for the side we back.
Recent form
As of 13 Oct 2026.
AFC Bournemouth: LLWDW
Sunderland A.F.C.: LLWLW
Head-to-head
As of 13 Oct 2026.
- 2Games
- 3.50Avg goals
- 100%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-28 | AFC Bournemouth vs Sunderland A.F.C. | 1–1 |
| 2025-11-29 | Sunderland A.F.C. vs AFC Bournemouth | 3–2 |
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FAQ
- Who will win AFC Bournemouth vs Sunderland A.F.C.?
- Tofiko's model favours AFC Bournemouth (48% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does AFC Bournemouth vs Sunderland A.F.C. kick off?
- Sun, 18 Oct 2026 13:00 GMT — English Premier League.
- What is the AFC Bournemouth vs Sunderland A.F.C. head-to-head record?
- In their last 2 meetings: 1 home wins, 1 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 3.50 goals per game.