Brighton & Hove Albion F.C. crestBrighton & Hove Albion F.C.vsCrystal Palace F.C. crestCrystal Palace F.C.

Brighton & Hove Albion F.C. vs Crystal Palace F.C. Prediction, H2H & Form

English Premier LeagueSun, 18 Oct 2026 13:00 GMTStatus: scheduled

Tofiko prediction

Our pick

Brighton & Hove Albion F.C. to win53%

1X2: model backs Brighton & Hove Albion F.C. at 53%.

Tofiko53% / 24% / 23%
Market62% / 21% / 17%
  • Brighton & Hove Albion F.C.
  • Draw
  • Crystal Palace F.C.

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

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Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.

Double Chance

  • Brighton & Hove Albion F.C. or draw77%
  • Draw or Crystal Palace F.C.47%
  • Brighton & Hove Albion F.C. or Crystal Palace F.C.76%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

  • Over 2.549%
  • Under 2.551%

Both teams to score

  • Brighton & Hove Albion F.C., last 10 home games2 of 10
  • Crystal Palace F.C., last 10 away games3 of 10
  • League rate, last 12 months (370 games)56%

Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.

Analysis

Both model families pick Brighton & Hove Albion F.C., rating it at 53.3% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 10 times, and Brighton & Hove Albion F.C. won none of them. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.

What to keep in mind

  • Our number and the market's own, side by side. Where they differ most, our record has been worst, so a difference is not a tip.

Recent form

As of 13 Oct 2026.

Brighton & Hove Albion F.C.: WWWWD

Crystal Palace F.C.: WLDWL

Head-to-head

As of 13 Oct 2026.

  • 10Games
  • 2.20Avg goals
  • 70%Both scored
  • 30%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-02-08Brighton & Hove Albion F.C. vs Crystal Palace F.C.0–1
2025-11-09Crystal Palace F.C. vs Brighton & Hove Albion F.C.0–0
2025-04-05Crystal Palace F.C. vs Brighton & Hove Albion F.C.2–1
2024-12-15Brighton & Hove Albion F.C. vs Crystal Palace F.C.1–3
2024-02-03Brighton & Hove Albion vs Crystal Palace4–1
2023-12-21Crystal Palace vs Brighton & Hove Albion1–1
2023-03-15Brighton & Hove Albion vs Crystal Palace1–0
2023-02-11Crystal Palace vs Brighton & Hove Albion1–1
2022-01-14Brighton & Hove Albion vs Crystal Palace1–1
2021-09-27Crystal Palace vs Brighton & Hove Albion1–1

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FAQ

Who will win Brighton & Hove Albion F.C. vs Crystal Palace F.C.?
Tofiko's model favours Brighton & Hove Albion F.C. (53% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Brighton & Hove Albion F.C. vs Crystal Palace F.C. kick off?
Sun, 18 Oct 2026 13:00 GMT — English Premier League.
What is the Brighton & Hove Albion F.C. vs Crystal Palace F.C. head-to-head record?
In their last 10 meetings: 3 home wins, 5 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 2.20 goals per game.

More predictions

Line-ups are not included; check them an hour before kick-off.

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Reverse fixtureCrystal Palace vs Brighton15 May 2027 →