Nottingham Forest F.C. vs Liverpool F.C. Prediction, H2H & Form
English Premier LeagueSat, 17 Apr 2027 14:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Liverpool F.C.51%
- Nottingham Forest F.C. 24%
- Draw 25%
- Liverpool F.C. 51%
Model families: split (goals models vs Elo)
Analysis
Our model families split, but the ensemble picks Liverpool F.C., rating it at 51.0%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 9 times, and Nottingham Forest F.C. won 2 of 9, with 2 drawn. Across 9 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
They arrive from very different football. Liverpool F.C.'s last 5 produced 21 goals — 4.2 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 4. Nottingham Forest F.C.'s 5 produced 12, at 2.4 per game.
The model puts the draw at 24.7%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Liverpool F.C.'s games are very high-scoring at 4.2 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 1 Sep 2026. Kickoff is still 228 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
Nottingham Forest F.C.: DLLWW
Liverpool F.C.: DDWLL
Head-to-head
As of 1 Sep 2026. Kickoff is still 228 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 9Games
- 2.33Avg goals
- 33%Both scored
- 44%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-29 | Liverpool F.C. vs Nottingham Forest F.C. | 2–2 |
| 2026-02-22 | Nottingham Forest F.C. vs Liverpool F.C. | 0–1 |
| 2025-11-22 | Liverpool F.C. vs Nottingham Forest F.C. | 0–3 |
| 2025-01-14 | Nottingham Forest F.C. vs Liverpool F.C. | 1–1 |
| 2024-09-14 | Liverpool F.C. vs Nottingham Forest F.C. | 0–1 |
| 2024-03-02 | Nottingham Forest vs Liverpool | 0–1 |
| 2023-10-29 | Liverpool vs Nottingham Forest | 3–0 |
| 2023-04-22 | Liverpool vs Nottingham Forest | 3–2 |
| 2022-10-22 | Nottingham Forest vs Liverpool | 1–0 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Nottingham Forest F.C. vs Liverpool F.C.?
- Tofiko's model favours Liverpool F.C. (51% probability), though our model families split on this one.
- What time does Nottingham Forest F.C. vs Liverpool F.C. kick off?
- Sat, 17 Apr 2027 14:00 GMT — English Premier League.
- What is the Nottingham Forest F.C. vs Liverpool F.C. head-to-head record?
- In their last 9 meetings: 3 home wins, 2 draws, 4 away wins, averaging 2.33 goals per game.