Tottenham Hotspur F.C. vs AFC Bournemouth Prediction, H2H & Stats
English Premier LeagueSat, 26 Dec 2026 15:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Tottenham Hotspur F.C.46%
- Tottenham Hotspur F.C. 46%
- Draw 25%
- AFC Bournemouth 30%
Model families: split (goals models vs Elo)
Analysis
Our model families split, but the ensemble picks Tottenham Hotspur F.C., rating it at 45.5%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 8 times, and Tottenham Hotspur F.C. won none of them. Across 8 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
They arrive from very different football. AFC Bournemouth's last 5 produced 17 goals — 3.4 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 4. Tottenham Hotspur F.C.'s 5 produced 9, at 1.8 per game.
The model puts the draw at 24.8%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
Tottenham Hotspur F.C.: WDWWW
AFC Bournemouth: WWDDW
Head-to-head
- 8Games
- 3.38Avg goals
- 63%Both scored
- 63%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-07 | AFC Bournemouth vs Tottenham Hotspur F.C. | 3–2 |
| 2025-08-30 | Tottenham Hotspur F.C. vs AFC Bournemouth | 0–1 |
| 2025-03-09 | Tottenham Hotspur F.C. vs AFC Bournemouth | 2–2 |
| 2024-12-05 | AFC Bournemouth vs Tottenham Hotspur F.C. | 1–0 |
| 2023-12-31 | Tottenham Hotspur vs AFC Bournemouth | 3–1 |
| 2023-08-26 | AFC Bournemouth vs Tottenham Hotspur | 0–2 |
| 2023-04-15 | Tottenham Hotspur vs AFC Bournemouth | 2–3 |
| 2022-10-29 | AFC Bournemouth vs Tottenham Hotspur | 2–3 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Tottenham Hotspur F.C. vs AFC Bournemouth?
- Tofiko's model favours Tottenham Hotspur F.C. (46% probability), though our model families split on this one.
- What time does Tottenham Hotspur F.C. vs AFC Bournemouth kick off?
- Sat, 26 Dec 2026 15:00 GMT — English Premier League.
- What is the Tottenham Hotspur F.C. vs AFC Bournemouth head-to-head record?
- In their last 8 meetings: 3 home wins, 1 draws, 4 away wins, averaging 3.38 goals per game.