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Tottenham Hotspur F.C. crestTottenham Hotspur F.C.vsAFC Bournemouth crestAFC Bournemouth

Tottenham Hotspur F.C. vs AFC Bournemouth Prediction, H2H & Stats

English Premier LeagueSat, 26 Dec 2026 15:00 GMTStatus: scheduled

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Tottenham Hotspur F.C.46%

Tottenham Hotspur F.C. 46%
Draw 25%
AFC Bournemouth 30%
  • Tottenham Hotspur F.C. 46%
  • Draw 25%
  • AFC Bournemouth 30%

Model families: split (goals models vs Elo)

Track this pick — follow it in My Picks

Analysis

Our model families split, but the ensemble picks Tottenham Hotspur F.C., rating it at 45.5%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 8 times, and Tottenham Hotspur F.C. won none of them. Across 8 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.

They arrive from very different football. AFC Bournemouth's last 5 produced 17 goals — 3.4 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 4. Tottenham Hotspur F.C.'s 5 produced 9, at 1.8 per game.

The model puts the draw at 24.8%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

Tottenham Hotspur F.C.: WDWWW

AFC Bournemouth: WWDDW

Head-to-head

  • 8Games
  • 3.38Avg goals
  • 63%Both scored
  • 63%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-01-07AFC Bournemouth vs Tottenham Hotspur F.C.3–2
2025-08-30Tottenham Hotspur F.C. vs AFC Bournemouth0–1
2025-03-09Tottenham Hotspur F.C. vs AFC Bournemouth2–2
2024-12-05AFC Bournemouth vs Tottenham Hotspur F.C.1–0
2023-12-31Tottenham Hotspur vs AFC Bournemouth3–1
2023-08-26AFC Bournemouth vs Tottenham Hotspur0–2
2023-04-15Tottenham Hotspur vs AFC Bournemouth2–3
2022-10-29AFC Bournemouth vs Tottenham Hotspur2–3

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win Tottenham Hotspur F.C. vs AFC Bournemouth?
Tofiko's model favours Tottenham Hotspur F.C. (46% probability), though our model families split on this one.
What time does Tottenham Hotspur F.C. vs AFC Bournemouth kick off?
Sat, 26 Dec 2026 15:00 GMT — English Premier League.
What is the Tottenham Hotspur F.C. vs AFC Bournemouth head-to-head record?
In their last 8 meetings: 3 home wins, 1 draws, 4 away wins, averaging 3.38 goals per game.

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