Tottenham Hotspur F.C. vs Leeds United F.C. Prediction, H2H & Form
English Premier LeagueSat, 16 Jan 2027 15:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Our pick
Tottenham Hotspur F.C. to win56%
1X2: model backs Tottenham Hotspur F.C. at 56%.
- Tottenham Hotspur F.C.
- Draw
- Leeds United F.C.
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
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Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.
Double Chance
- Tottenham Hotspur F.C. or draw79%
- Draw or Leeds United F.C.44%
- Tottenham Hotspur F.C. or Leeds United F.C.78%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
- Over 2.568%
- Under 2.532%
Both teams to score
- Tottenham Hotspur F.C., last 10 home games5 of 10
- Leeds United F.C., last 10 away games6 of 10
- League rate, last 12 months (370 games)56%
Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.
Analysis
Both model families pick Tottenham Hotspur F.C., rating it at 56.3% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 8 times, and Tottenham Hotspur F.C. won 1 of 8, with 1 drawn. Across 8 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.
They arrive from very different football. Leeds United F.C.'s last 5 produced 19 goals — 3.8 per game; they scored in 4 of them and conceded in 4. Tottenham Hotspur F.C.'s 5 produced 11, at 2.2 per game.
Recent form
As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 95 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
Tottenham Hotspur F.C.: DLLDD
Leeds United F.C.: LDWLD
Head-to-head
As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 95 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 8Games
- 3.88Avg goals
- 75%Both scored
- 88%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-11 | Tottenham Hotspur F.C. vs Leeds United F.C. | 1–1 |
| 2025-10-04 | Leeds United F.C. vs Tottenham Hotspur F.C. | 1–2 |
| 2023-05-28 | Leeds United vs Tottenham Hotspur | 1–4 |
| 2022-11-12 | Tottenham Hotspur vs Leeds United | 4–3 |
| 2022-02-26 | Leeds United vs Tottenham Hotspur | 0–4 |
| 2021-11-21 | Tottenham Hotspur vs Leeds United | 2–1 |
| 2021-05-08 | Leeds United vs Tottenham Hotspur | 3–1 |
| 2021-01-02 | Tottenham Hotspur vs Leeds United | 3–0 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Tottenham Hotspur F.C. vs Leeds United F.C.?
- Tofiko's model favours Tottenham Hotspur F.C. (56% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Tottenham Hotspur F.C. vs Leeds United F.C. kick off?
- Sat, 16 Jan 2027 15:00 GMT — English Premier League.
- What is the Tottenham Hotspur F.C. vs Leeds United F.C. head-to-head record?
- In their last 8 meetings: 4 home wins, 1 draws, 3 away wins, averaging 3.88 goals per game.