FC Aroucavs
Rio Ave F.C.FC Arouca vs Rio Ave F.C. Prediction, H2H & Form
Primeira LigaSat, 28 Nov 2026 15:30 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Our pick
FC Arouca to win55%
1X2: model backs FC Arouca at 55%.
- FC Arouca
- Draw
- Rio Ave F.C.
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Free. Saves this pick to My Picks, settles it when the match ends, and can email you an hour before kick-off and with the result — if you say yes.
More markets
Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.
Double Chance
- FC Arouca or draw81%
- Draw or Rio Ave F.C.45%
- FC Arouca or Rio Ave F.C.74%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
- Over 2.544%
- Under 2.556%
Both teams to score
- FC Arouca, last 10 home games6 of 10
- Rio Ave F.C., last 10 away games2 of 10
- League rate, last 12 months (304 games)49%
Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.
Analysis
Both model families pick FC Arouca, rating it at 54.6% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 9 times, and FC Arouca won 1 of 9, with 4 drawn. Across 9 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.
They arrive from very different football. Rio Ave F.C.'s last 5 produced 20 goals — 4.0 per game; they scored in 2 of them and conceded in 5. FC Arouca's 5 produced 11, at 2.2 per game.
What to keep in mind
- Rio Ave F.C.'s games are very high-scoring at 4.0 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
Recent form
As of 12 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 47 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
FC Arouca: WDLDW
Rio Ave F.C.: WLDLL
Head-to-head
As of 12 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 47 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 9Games
- 2.56Avg goals
- 56%Both scored
- 44%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-11 | Rio Ave F.C. vs FC Arouca | 2–1 |
| 2026-01-31 | Rio Ave F.C. vs FC Arouca | 0–3 |
| 2025-08-23 | FC Arouca vs Rio Ave F.C. | 3–3 |
| 2025-02-10 | FC Arouca vs Rio Ave FC | 1–1 |
| 2024-09-01 | Rio Ave FC vs FC Arouca | 1–0 |
| 2024-04-19 | Rio Ave vs FC Arouca | 1–1 |
| 2023-12-10 | FC Arouca vs Rio Ave | 2–2 |
| 2023-04-28 | Rio Ave vs FC Arouca | 1–0 |
| 2022-11-12 | FC Arouca vs Rio Ave | 0–1 |
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FAQ
- Who will win FC Arouca vs Rio Ave F.C.?
- Tofiko's model favours FC Arouca (55% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does FC Arouca vs Rio Ave F.C. kick off?
- Sat, 28 Nov 2026 15:30 GMT — Primeira Liga.
- What is the FC Arouca vs Rio Ave F.C. head-to-head record?
- In their last 9 meetings: 3 home wins, 4 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 2.56 goals per game.