Rio Ave F.C.vs
FC AroucaRio Ave F.C. vs FC Arouca Prediction, H2H & Form
Primeira LigaSun, 11 Apr 2027 15:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Our pick
Rio Ave F.C. or draw71%
1X2: model backs Rio Ave F.C. at 43% — under 50%, so the pick covers the draw too.
- Rio Ave F.C.
- Draw
- FC Arouca
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Free. Saves this pick to My Picks, settles it when the match ends, and can email you an hour before kick-off and with the result — if you say yes.
More markets
Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.
Double Chance
- Rio Ave F.C. or draw71%
- Draw or FC Arouca57%
- Rio Ave F.C. or FC Arouca72%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
- Over 2.544%
- Under 2.556%
Both teams to score
- Rio Ave F.C., last 10 home games7 of 10
- FC Arouca, last 10 away games3 of 10
- League rate, last 12 months (304 games)49%
Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.
Analysis
Both model families pick Rio Ave F.C., rating it at 43.3% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 9 times, and Rio Ave F.C. won 1 of 9, with 4 drawn. Across 9 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.
They arrive from very different football. Rio Ave F.C.'s last 5 produced 20 goals — 4.0 per game; they scored in 2 of them and conceded in 5. FC Arouca's 5 produced 11, at 2.2 per game.
What to keep in mind
- Rio Ave F.C.'s games are very high-scoring at 4.0 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
Recent form
As of 12 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 181 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
Rio Ave F.C.: WLDLL
FC Arouca: WDLDW
Head-to-head
As of 12 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 181 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 9Games
- 2.56Avg goals
- 56%Both scored
- 44%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-11 | Rio Ave F.C. vs FC Arouca | 2–1 |
| 2026-01-31 | Rio Ave F.C. vs FC Arouca | 0–3 |
| 2025-08-23 | FC Arouca vs Rio Ave F.C. | 3–3 |
| 2025-02-10 | FC Arouca vs Rio Ave FC | 1–1 |
| 2024-09-01 | Rio Ave FC vs FC Arouca | 1–0 |
| 2024-04-19 | Rio Ave vs FC Arouca | 1–1 |
| 2023-12-10 | FC Arouca vs Rio Ave | 2–2 |
| 2023-04-28 | Rio Ave vs FC Arouca | 1–0 |
| 2022-11-12 | FC Arouca vs Rio Ave | 0–1 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Rio Ave F.C. vs FC Arouca?
- Tofiko's model favours Rio Ave F.C. (43% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Rio Ave F.C. vs FC Arouca kick off?
- Sun, 11 Apr 2027 15:00 GMT — Primeira Liga.
- What is the Rio Ave F.C. vs FC Arouca head-to-head record?
- In their last 9 meetings: 3 home wins, 4 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 2.56 goals per game.