Vitoria Guimaraesvs
Estrela AmadoraVitoria Guimaraes vs Estrela Amadora Prediction, H2H & Form
Primeira LigaSun, 29 Nov 2026 15:59 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Vitoria Guimaraes66%
- Vitoria Guimaraes 66%
- Draw 23%
- Estrela Amadora 11%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick Vitoria Guimaraes, rating it at 65.8%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 6 times, and Vitoria Guimaraes won 5 of 6, with 1 drawn. Across 6 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
They arrive from very different football. Estrela Amadora's last 5 produced 20 goals — 4.0 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 4. Vitoria Guimaraes's 5 produced 10, at 2.0 per game.
The model puts the draw at 22.7%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Estrela Amadora's games are very high-scoring at 4.0 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 1 Sep 2026. Kickoff is still 89 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
Vitoria Guimaraes: LWLLW
Estrela Amadora: WDDWW
Head-to-head
As of 1 Sep 2026. Kickoff is still 89 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 6Games
- 2.50Avg goals
- 33%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-14 | Vitoria Guimaraes vs Estrela Amadora | 2–1 |
| 2025-09-14 | Estrela Amadora vs Vitoria Guimaraes | 0–2 |
| 2025-03-16 | Vitoria Guimaraes vs Estrela Amadora | 2–0 |
| 2024-10-27 | Estrela Amadora vs Vitoria Guimaraes | 2–2 |
| 2024-01-21 | Vitoria Guimaraes vs Estrela Amadora | 3–0 |
| 2023-08-13 | Estrela Amadora vs Vitoria Guimaraes | 0–1 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Vitoria Guimaraes vs Estrela Amadora?
- Tofiko's model favours Vitoria Guimaraes (66% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Vitoria Guimaraes vs Estrela Amadora kick off?
- Sun, 29 Nov 2026 15:59 GMT — Primeira Liga.
- What is the Vitoria Guimaraes vs Estrela Amadora head-to-head record?
- In their last 6 meetings: 3 home wins, 1 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 2.50 goals per game.