Vitoria Guimaraesvs
Estrela AmadoraVitoria Guimaraes vs Estrela Amadora Prediction, H2H & Form
Primeira LigaSat, 28 Nov 2026 20:30 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Our pick
Vitoria Guimaraes to win66%
1X2: model backs Vitoria Guimaraes at 66%.
- Vitoria Guimaraes
- Draw
- Estrela Amadora
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Free. Saves this pick to My Picks, settles it when the match ends, and can email you an hour before kick-off and with the result — if you say yes.
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Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.
Double Chance
- Vitoria Guimaraes or draw89%
- Draw or Estrela Amadora34%
- Vitoria Guimaraes or Estrela Amadora77%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
- Over 2.544%
- Under 2.556%
Both teams to score
- Vitoria Guimaraes, last 10 home games4 of 10
- Estrela Amadora, last 10 away games6 of 10
- League rate, last 12 months (304 games)49%
Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.
Analysis
Both model families pick Vitoria Guimaraes, rating it at 65.8% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 6 times, and Vitoria Guimaraes won 5 of 6, with 1 drawn. Across 6 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.
They arrive from very different football. Estrela Amadora's last 5 produced 16 goals — 3.2 per game; they scored in 3 of them and conceded in 5. Vitoria Guimaraes's 5 produced 8, at 1.6 per game.
Recent form
As of 12 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 48 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
Vitoria Guimaraes: LWDLD
Estrela Amadora: LLDWD
Head-to-head
As of 12 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 48 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 6Games
- 2.50Avg goals
- 33%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-14 | Vitoria Guimaraes vs Estrela Amadora | 2–1 |
| 2025-09-14 | Estrela Amadora vs Vitoria Guimaraes | 0–2 |
| 2025-03-16 | Vitoria Guimaraes vs Estrela Amadora | 2–0 |
| 2024-10-27 | Estrela Amadora vs Vitoria Guimaraes | 2–2 |
| 2024-01-21 | Vitoria Guimaraes vs Estrela Amadora | 3–0 |
| 2023-08-13 | Estrela Amadora vs Vitoria Guimaraes | 0–1 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Vitoria Guimaraes vs Estrela Amadora?
- Tofiko's model favours Vitoria Guimaraes (66% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Vitoria Guimaraes vs Estrela Amadora kick off?
- Sat, 28 Nov 2026 20:30 GMT — Primeira Liga.
- What is the Vitoria Guimaraes vs Estrela Amadora head-to-head record?
- In their last 6 meetings: 3 home wins, 1 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 2.50 goals per game.