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FC Porto crestFC PortovsSporting CP crestSporting CP

FC Porto vs Sporting CP Prediction, H2H & Stats

Primeira LigaSun, 29 Nov 2026 15:59 GMTStatus: scheduled

Tofiko prediction

Model backs FC Porto47%

FC Porto 47%
Draw 27%
Sporting CP 27%
  • FC Porto 47%
  • Draw 27%
  • Sporting CP 27%

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

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Analysis

Both model families pick FC Porto, rating it at 46.5%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 10 times, and FC Porto won 3 of 10, with 5 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.

They arrive from very different football. Sporting CP's last 5 produced 21 goals — 4.2 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 3. FC Porto's 5 produced 9, at 1.8 per game.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • Sporting CP's games are very high-scoring at 4.2 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

FC Porto: WWLWW

Sporting CP: WWWWD

Head-to-head

  • 10Games
  • 2.50Avg goals
  • 60%Both scored
  • 50%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-04-21FC Porto vs Sporting CP0–0
2026-02-09FC Porto vs Sporting CP1–1
2025-08-30Sporting CP vs FC Porto1–2
2025-02-07FC Porto vs Sporting Clube de Portugal1–1
2024-08-31Sporting Clube de Portugal vs FC Porto2–0
2024-04-28FC Porto vs Sporting Clube de Portugal2–2
2023-12-18Sporting Clube de Portugal vs FC Porto2–0
2023-02-12Sporting Clube de Portugal vs FC Porto1–2
2022-08-20FC Porto vs Sporting Clube de Portugal3–0
2022-02-11FC Porto vs Sporting Clube de Portugal2–2

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win FC Porto vs Sporting CP?
Tofiko's model favours FC Porto (47% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does FC Porto vs Sporting CP kick off?
Sun, 29 Nov 2026 15:59 GMT — Primeira Liga.
What is the FC Porto vs Sporting CP head-to-head record?
In their last 10 meetings: 3 home wins, 5 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 2.50 goals per game.

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