FC Porto crestFC PortovsSporting CP crestSporting CP

FC Porto vs Sporting CP Prediction, H2H & Form

Primeira LigaSun, 29 Nov 2026 20:30 GMTStatus: scheduled

Tofiko prediction

Our pick

FC Porto or draw73%

1X2: model backs FC Porto at 47% — under 50%, so the pick covers the draw too.

Tofiko47% / 27% / 27%
  • FC Porto
  • Draw
  • Sporting CP

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

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More markets

Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.

Double Chance

  • FC Porto or draw73%
  • Draw or Sporting CP53%
  • FC Porto or Sporting CP73%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

  • Over 2.547%
  • Under 2.553%

Both teams to score

  • FC Porto, last 10 home games3 of 10
  • Sporting CP, last 10 away games6 of 10
  • League rate, last 12 months (304 games)49%

Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.

Analysis

Both model families pick FC Porto, rating it at 46.5% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 10 times, and FC Porto won 3 of 10, with 5 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.

Recent form

As of 12 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 49 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.

FC Porto: WWWWL

Sporting CP: WDDWW

Head-to-head

As of 12 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 49 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.

  • 10Games
  • 2.50Avg goals
  • 60%Both scored
  • 50%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-04-21FC Porto vs Sporting CP0–0
2026-02-09FC Porto vs Sporting CP1–1
2025-08-30Sporting CP vs FC Porto1–2
2025-02-07FC Porto vs Sporting Clube de Portugal1–1
2024-08-31Sporting Clube de Portugal vs FC Porto2–0
2024-04-28FC Porto vs Sporting Clube de Portugal2–2
2023-12-18Sporting Clube de Portugal vs FC Porto2–0
2023-02-12Sporting Clube de Portugal vs FC Porto1–2
2022-08-20FC Porto vs Sporting Clube de Portugal3–0
2022-02-11FC Porto vs Sporting Clube de Portugal2–2

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win FC Porto vs Sporting CP?
Tofiko's model favours FC Porto (47% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does FC Porto vs Sporting CP kick off?
Sun, 29 Nov 2026 20:30 GMT — Primeira Liga.
What is the FC Porto vs Sporting CP head-to-head record?
In their last 10 meetings: 3 home wins, 5 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 2.50 goals per game.

More predictions

Line-ups are not included; check them an hour before kick-off.

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Reverse fixtureSporting CP vs FC Porto11 Apr 2027 →