FC Porto vs Sporting CP Prediction, H2H & Form
Primeira LigaSun, 29 Nov 2026 15:59 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs FC Porto47%
- FC Porto 47%
- Draw 27%
- Sporting CP 27%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick FC Porto, rating it at 46.5%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and FC Porto won 3 of 10, with 5 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
They arrive from very different football. Sporting CP's last 5 produced 22 goals — 4.4 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 4. FC Porto's 5 produced 10, at 2.0 per game.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Sporting CP's games are very high-scoring at 4.4 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 1 Sep 2026. Kickoff is still 89 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
FC Porto: WWWWW
Sporting CP: WWWDW
Head-to-head
As of 1 Sep 2026. Kickoff is still 89 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 10Games
- 2.50Avg goals
- 60%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-21 | FC Porto vs Sporting CP | 0–0 |
| 2026-02-09 | FC Porto vs Sporting CP | 1–1 |
| 2025-08-30 | Sporting CP vs FC Porto | 1–2 |
| 2025-02-07 | FC Porto vs Sporting Clube de Portugal | 1–1 |
| 2024-08-31 | Sporting Clube de Portugal vs FC Porto | 2–0 |
| 2024-04-28 | FC Porto vs Sporting Clube de Portugal | 2–2 |
| 2023-12-18 | Sporting Clube de Portugal vs FC Porto | 2–0 |
| 2023-02-12 | Sporting Clube de Portugal vs FC Porto | 1–2 |
| 2022-08-20 | FC Porto vs Sporting Clube de Portugal | 3–0 |
| 2022-02-11 | FC Porto vs Sporting Clube de Portugal | 2–2 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win FC Porto vs Sporting CP?
- Tofiko's model favours FC Porto (47% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does FC Porto vs Sporting CP kick off?
- Sun, 29 Nov 2026 15:59 GMT — Primeira Liga.
- What is the FC Porto vs Sporting CP head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 3 home wins, 5 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 2.50 goals per game.