FC Porto vs Sporting CP Prediction, H2H & Form
Primeira LigaSun, 29 Nov 2026 20:30 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Our pick
FC Porto or draw73%
1X2: model backs FC Porto at 47% — under 50%, so the pick covers the draw too.
- FC Porto
- Draw
- Sporting CP
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
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Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.
Double Chance
- FC Porto or draw73%
- Draw or Sporting CP53%
- FC Porto or Sporting CP73%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
- Over 2.547%
- Under 2.553%
Both teams to score
- FC Porto, last 10 home games3 of 10
- Sporting CP, last 10 away games6 of 10
- League rate, last 12 months (304 games)49%
Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.
Analysis
Both model families pick FC Porto, rating it at 46.5% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and FC Porto won 3 of 10, with 5 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.
Recent form
As of 12 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 49 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
FC Porto: WWWWL
Sporting CP: WDDWW
Head-to-head
As of 12 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 49 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 10Games
- 2.50Avg goals
- 60%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-21 | FC Porto vs Sporting CP | 0–0 |
| 2026-02-09 | FC Porto vs Sporting CP | 1–1 |
| 2025-08-30 | Sporting CP vs FC Porto | 1–2 |
| 2025-02-07 | FC Porto vs Sporting Clube de Portugal | 1–1 |
| 2024-08-31 | Sporting Clube de Portugal vs FC Porto | 2–0 |
| 2024-04-28 | FC Porto vs Sporting Clube de Portugal | 2–2 |
| 2023-12-18 | Sporting Clube de Portugal vs FC Porto | 2–0 |
| 2023-02-12 | Sporting Clube de Portugal vs FC Porto | 1–2 |
| 2022-08-20 | FC Porto vs Sporting Clube de Portugal | 3–0 |
| 2022-02-11 | FC Porto vs Sporting Clube de Portugal | 2–2 |
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FAQ
- Who will win FC Porto vs Sporting CP?
- Tofiko's model favours FC Porto (47% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does FC Porto vs Sporting CP kick off?
- Sun, 29 Nov 2026 20:30 GMT — Primeira Liga.
- What is the FC Porto vs Sporting CP head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 3 home wins, 5 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 2.50 goals per game.