SL Benficavs
F.C. AlvercaSL Benfica vs F.C. Alverca Prediction, H2H & Stats
Primeira LigaSun, 01 Nov 2026 15:59 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs SL Benfica79%
- SL Benfica 79%
- Draw 16%
- F.C. Alverca 5%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick SL Benfica, rating it at 79.0%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 2 times, and SL Benfica won all of them. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 79.0% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
They arrive from very different football. SL Benfica's last 5 produced 23 goals — 4.6 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 3. F.C. Alverca's 5 produced 8, at 1.6 per game.
The model puts the draw at 16.2%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- SL Benfica's games are very high-scoring at 4.6 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
SL Benfica: WWWLW
F.C. Alverca: WWWWL
Head-to-head
- 2Games
- 3.00Avg goals
- 100%Both scored
- 100%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-08 | SL Benfica vs F.C. Alverca | 2–1 |
| 2025-08-31 | F.C. Alverca vs SL Benfica | 1–2 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win SL Benfica vs F.C. Alverca?
- Tofiko's model favours SL Benfica (79% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does SL Benfica vs F.C. Alverca kick off?
- Sun, 01 Nov 2026 15:59 GMT — Primeira Liga.
- What is the SL Benfica vs F.C. Alverca head-to-head record?
- In their last 2 meetings: 1 home wins, 0 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 3.00 goals per game.