FC Arouca crestFC AroucavsCD Nacional crestCD Nacional

FC Arouca vs CD Nacional Prediction, H2H & Form

Primeira LigaSun, 01 Nov 2026 15:30 GMTStatus: scheduled

Tofiko prediction

Model backs FC Arouca60%

Tofiko60% / 25% / 16%
  • FC Arouca
  • Draw
  • CD Nacional

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

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Analysis

Both model families pick FC Arouca, rating it at 59.7% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 4 times, and FC Arouca won all of them. 4 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast.

Recent form

As of 22 Sep 2026. Kickoff is still 41 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.

FC Arouca: DLDWL

CD Nacional: LLLLL

Head-to-head

As of 22 Sep 2026. Kickoff is still 41 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.

  • 4Games
  • 2.50Avg goals
  • 50%Both scored
  • 75%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-02-21FC Arouca vs CD Nacional3–0
2025-09-20CD Nacional vs FC Arouca1–2
2025-02-01CD Nacional vs FC Arouca1–2
2024-08-25FC Arouca vs CD Nacional1–0

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FAQ

Who will win FC Arouca vs CD Nacional?
Tofiko's model favours FC Arouca (60% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does FC Arouca vs CD Nacional kick off?
Sun, 01 Nov 2026 15:30 GMT — Primeira Liga.
What is the FC Arouca vs CD Nacional head-to-head record?
In their last 4 meetings: 2 home wins, 0 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 2.50 goals per game.

More predictions

Line-ups are not included; check them an hour before kick-off.

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Reverse fixtureNacional vs Arouca21 Mar 2027 →