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Casa Pia AC crestCasa Pia ACvsSporting CP crestSporting CP

Casa Pia AC vs Sporting CP Prediction, H2H & Stats

Primeira LigaSun, 01 Nov 2026 15:59 GMTStatus: scheduled

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Sporting CP74%

Casa Pia AC 6%
Draw 20%
Sporting CP 74%
  • Casa Pia AC 6%
  • Draw 20%
  • Sporting CP 74%

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

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Analysis

Both model families pick Sporting CP, rating it at 74.3%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 8 times, and Casa Pia AC won none of them. Across 8 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.

The model puts the draw at 19.6%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • Sporting CP's games are very high-scoring at 4.2 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

Casa Pia AC: LLWWD

Sporting CP: WWWWD

Head-to-head

  • 8Games
  • 4.13Avg goals
  • 50%Both scored
  • 75%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-01-16Sporting CP vs Casa Pia AC3–0
2025-08-08Casa Pia AC vs Sporting CP0–2
2025-03-09Casa Pia AC vs Sporting Clube de Portugal1–3
2024-10-05Sporting Clube de Portugal vs Casa Pia AC2–0
2024-01-29Sporting Clube de Portugal vs Casa Pia AC8–0
2023-08-18Casa Pia AC vs Sporting Clube de Portugal1–2
2023-04-09Casa Pia AC vs Sporting Clube de Portugal3–4
2022-10-22Sporting Clube de Portugal vs Casa Pia AC3–1

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win Casa Pia AC vs Sporting CP?
Tofiko's model favours Sporting CP (74% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Casa Pia AC vs Sporting CP kick off?
Sun, 01 Nov 2026 15:59 GMT — Primeira Liga.
What is the Casa Pia AC vs Sporting CP head-to-head record?
In their last 8 meetings: 4 home wins, 0 draws, 4 away wins, averaging 4.13 goals per game.

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