Casa Pia AC vs Sporting CP Prediction, H2H & Stats
Primeira LigaSun, 01 Nov 2026 15:59 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Sporting CP74%
- Casa Pia AC 6%
- Draw 20%
- Sporting CP 74%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick Sporting CP, rating it at 74.3%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 8 times, and Casa Pia AC won none of them. Across 8 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
The model puts the draw at 19.6%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Sporting CP's games are very high-scoring at 4.2 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
Casa Pia AC: LLWWD
Sporting CP: WWWWD
Head-to-head
- 8Games
- 4.13Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 75%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-16 | Sporting CP vs Casa Pia AC | 3–0 |
| 2025-08-08 | Casa Pia AC vs Sporting CP | 0–2 |
| 2025-03-09 | Casa Pia AC vs Sporting Clube de Portugal | 1–3 |
| 2024-10-05 | Sporting Clube de Portugal vs Casa Pia AC | 2–0 |
| 2024-01-29 | Sporting Clube de Portugal vs Casa Pia AC | 8–0 |
| 2023-08-18 | Casa Pia AC vs Sporting Clube de Portugal | 1–2 |
| 2023-04-09 | Casa Pia AC vs Sporting Clube de Portugal | 3–4 |
| 2022-10-22 | Sporting Clube de Portugal vs Casa Pia AC | 3–1 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Casa Pia AC vs Sporting CP?
- Tofiko's model favours Sporting CP (74% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Casa Pia AC vs Sporting CP kick off?
- Sun, 01 Nov 2026 15:59 GMT — Primeira Liga.
- What is the Casa Pia AC vs Sporting CP head-to-head record?
- In their last 8 meetings: 4 home wins, 0 draws, 4 away wins, averaging 4.13 goals per game.