Moreirensevs
Estrela AmadoraMoreirense vs Estrela Amadora Prediction, H2H & Stats
Primeira LigaSun, 01 Nov 2026 15:59 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Moreirense59%
- Moreirense 59%
- Draw 25%
- Estrela Amadora 15%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick Moreirense, rating it at 59.5%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 6 times, and Moreirense won 2 of 6, with 3 drawn. Across 6 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
The model puts the draw at 25.3%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
Moreirense: LWDLD
Estrela Amadora: WWDWL
Head-to-head
- 6Games
- 2.50Avg goals
- 67%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-02 | Moreirense vs Estrela Amadora | 3–2 |
| 2025-12-20 | Estrela Amadora vs Moreirense | 0–0 |
| 2025-03-02 | Moreirense vs Estrela Amadora | 1–1 |
| 2024-09-28 | Estrela Amadora vs Moreirense | 2–1 |
| 2024-04-07 | Moreirense vs Estrela Amadora | 2–2 |
| 2023-11-11 | Estrela Amadora vs Moreirense | 0–1 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Moreirense vs Estrela Amadora?
- Tofiko's model favours Moreirense (59% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Moreirense vs Estrela Amadora kick off?
- Sun, 01 Nov 2026 15:59 GMT — Primeira Liga.
- What is the Moreirense vs Estrela Amadora head-to-head record?
- In their last 6 meetings: 2 home wins, 3 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 2.50 goals per game.