Moreirense crestMoreirensevsEstrela Amadora crestEstrela Amadora

Moreirense vs Estrela Amadora Prediction, H2H & Form

Primeira LigaSat, 31 Oct 2026 15:30 GMTStatus: scheduled

Tofiko prediction

Our pick

Moreirense to win59%

1X2: model backs Moreirense at 59%.

Tofiko59% / 25% / 15%
  • Moreirense
  • Draw
  • Estrela Amadora

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

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More markets

Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.

Double Chance

  • Moreirense or draw85%
  • Draw or Estrela Amadora41%
  • Moreirense or Estrela Amadora75%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

  • Over 2.540%
  • Under 2.560%

Both teams to score

  • Moreirense, last 10 home games6 of 10
  • Estrela Amadora, last 10 away games6 of 10
  • League rate, last 12 months (304 games)49%

Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.

Analysis

Both model families pick Moreirense, rating it at 59.5% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 6 times, and Moreirense won 2 of 6, with 3 drawn. Across 6 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.

Recent form

As of 12 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 20 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.

Moreirense: LDWLL

Estrela Amadora: LLDWD

Head-to-head

As of 12 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 20 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.

  • 6Games
  • 2.50Avg goals
  • 67%Both scored
  • 50%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-05-02Moreirense vs Estrela Amadora3–2
2025-12-20Estrela Amadora vs Moreirense0–0
2025-03-02Moreirense vs Estrela Amadora1–1
2024-09-28Estrela Amadora vs Moreirense2–1
2024-04-07Moreirense vs Estrela Amadora2–2
2023-11-11Estrela Amadora vs Moreirense0–1

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win Moreirense vs Estrela Amadora?
Tofiko's model favours Moreirense (59% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Moreirense vs Estrela Amadora kick off?
Sat, 31 Oct 2026 15:30 GMT — Primeira Liga.
What is the Moreirense vs Estrela Amadora head-to-head record?
In their last 6 meetings: 2 home wins, 3 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 2.50 goals per game.

More predictions

Line-ups are not included; check them an hour before kick-off.

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Reverse fixtureEstrela vs Moreirense21 Mar 2027 →