FC Famalicaovs
FC AroucaFC Famalicao vs FC Arouca Prediction, H2H & Stats
Primeira LigaSun, 08 Nov 2026 15:59 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs FC Famalicao59%
- FC Famalicao 59%
- Draw 25%
- FC Arouca 16%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick FC Famalicao, rating it at 58.9%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and FC Famalicao won 3 of 10, with 4 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
The model puts the draw at 24.7%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
FC Famalicao: DLDDW
FC Arouca: WLDDL
Head-to-head
- 10Games
- 1.80Avg goals
- 40%Both scored
- 30%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-22 | FC Famalicao vs FC Arouca | 0–0 |
| 2026-03-06 | FC Famalicao vs FC Arouca | 1–0 |
| 2025-10-05 | FC Arouca vs FC Famalicao | 1–1 |
| 2025-04-05 | FC Arouca vs FC Famalicao | 1–2 |
| 2024-11-09 | FC Famalicao vs FC Arouca | 0–0 |
| 2024-02-23 | FC Arouca vs FC Famalicao | 3–2 |
| 2023-09-22 | FC Famalicao vs FC Arouca | 1–0 |
| 2023-04-03 | FC Famalicao vs FC Arouca | 0–1 |
| 2022-10-10 | FC Arouca vs FC Famalicao | 4–1 |
| 2022-01-31 | FC Famalicao vs FC Arouca | 0–0 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win FC Famalicao vs FC Arouca?
- Tofiko's model favours FC Famalicao (59% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does FC Famalicao vs FC Arouca kick off?
- Sun, 08 Nov 2026 15:59 GMT — Primeira Liga.
- What is the FC Famalicao vs FC Arouca head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 4 home wins, 4 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 1.80 goals per game.