FC Famalicao crestFC FamalicaovsFC Arouca crestFC Arouca

FC Famalicao vs FC Arouca Prediction, H2H & Form

Primeira LigaFri, 06 Nov 2026 20:45 GMTStatus: scheduled

Tofiko prediction

Our pick

FC Famalicao to win59%

1X2: model backs FC Famalicao at 59%.

Tofiko59% / 25% / 16%
  • FC Famalicao
  • Draw
  • FC Arouca

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

Remind me before kick-off

Free. Saves this pick to My Picks, settles it when the match ends, and can email you an hour before kick-off and with the result — if you say yes.

More markets

Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.

Double Chance

  • FC Famalicao or draw84%
  • Draw or FC Arouca41%
  • FC Famalicao or FC Arouca75%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

  • Over 2.547%
  • Under 2.553%

Both teams to score

  • FC Famalicao, last 10 home games2 of 10
  • FC Arouca, last 10 away games3 of 10
  • League rate, last 12 months (304 games)49%

Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.

Analysis

Both model families pick FC Famalicao, rating it at 58.9% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 10 times, and FC Famalicao won 3 of 10, with 4 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.

Recent form

As of 12 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 26 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.

FC Famalicao: WDDDL

FC Arouca: WDLDW

Head-to-head

As of 12 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 26 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.

  • 10Games
  • 1.80Avg goals
  • 40%Both scored
  • 30%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-07-22FC Famalicao vs FC Arouca0–0
2026-03-06FC Famalicao vs FC Arouca1–0
2025-10-05FC Arouca vs FC Famalicao1–1
2025-04-05FC Arouca vs FC Famalicao1–2
2024-11-09FC Famalicao vs FC Arouca0–0
2024-02-23FC Arouca vs FC Famalicao3–2
2023-09-22FC Famalicao vs FC Arouca1–0
2023-04-03FC Famalicao vs FC Arouca0–1
2022-10-10FC Arouca vs FC Famalicao4–1
2022-01-31FC Famalicao vs FC Arouca0–0

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win FC Famalicao vs FC Arouca?
Tofiko's model favours FC Famalicao (59% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does FC Famalicao vs FC Arouca kick off?
Fri, 06 Nov 2026 20:45 GMT — Primeira Liga.
What is the FC Famalicao vs FC Arouca head-to-head record?
In their last 10 meetings: 4 home wins, 4 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 1.80 goals per game.

More predictions

Line-ups are not included; check them an hour before kick-off.

18+ · Please gamble responsibly. Predictions are analysis, not betting advice.

Reverse fixtureArouca vs Famalicao4 Apr 2027 →