Sporting CP crestSporting CPvsFC Porto crestFC Porto

Sporting CP vs FC Porto Prediction, H2H & Form

Primeira LigaSun, 11 Apr 2027 15:00 GMTStatus: scheduled

Tofiko prediction

Our pick

Sporting CP to win53%

1X2: model backs Sporting CP at 53%.

Tofiko53% / 26% / 21%
  • Sporting CP
  • Draw
  • FC Porto

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

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More markets

Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.

Double Chance

  • Sporting CP or draw79%
  • Draw or FC Porto47%
  • Sporting CP or FC Porto74%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

  • Over 2.548%
  • Under 2.552%

Both teams to score

  • Sporting CP, last 10 home games7 of 10
  • FC Porto, last 10 away games6 of 10
  • League rate, last 12 months (304 games)49%

Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.

Analysis

Both model families pick Sporting CP, rating it at 53.3% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 10 times, and Sporting CP won none of them. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.

Recent form

As of 12 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 181 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.

Sporting CP: WDDWW

FC Porto: WWWWL

Head-to-head

As of 12 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 181 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.

  • 10Games
  • 2.50Avg goals
  • 60%Both scored
  • 50%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-04-21FC Porto vs Sporting CP0–0
2026-02-09FC Porto vs Sporting CP1–1
2025-08-30Sporting CP vs FC Porto1–2
2025-02-07FC Porto vs Sporting Clube de Portugal1–1
2024-08-31Sporting Clube de Portugal vs FC Porto2–0
2024-04-28FC Porto vs Sporting Clube de Portugal2–2
2023-12-18Sporting Clube de Portugal vs FC Porto2–0
2023-02-12Sporting Clube de Portugal vs FC Porto1–2
2022-08-20FC Porto vs Sporting Clube de Portugal3–0
2022-02-11FC Porto vs Sporting Clube de Portugal2–2

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win Sporting CP vs FC Porto?
Tofiko's model favours Sporting CP (53% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Sporting CP vs FC Porto kick off?
Sun, 11 Apr 2027 15:00 GMT — Primeira Liga.
What is the Sporting CP vs FC Porto head-to-head record?
In their last 10 meetings: 3 home wins, 5 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 2.50 goals per game.

More predictions

Line-ups are not included; check them an hour before kick-off.

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Reverse fixtureFC Porto vs Sporting CP29 Nov 2026 →