Estrela Amadora vs Vitoria Guimaraes Prediction, H2H & Form
Primeira LigaSun, 11 Apr 2027 15:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Vitoria Guimaraes44%
- Estrela Amadora
- Draw
- Vitoria Guimaraes
Model families: split (goals models vs Elo)
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Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.
Double Chance
- Estrela Amadora or draw56%
- Draw or Vitoria Guimaraes72%
- Estrela Amadora or Vitoria Guimaraes72%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
- Over 2.541%
- Under 2.560%
Both teams to score
- Estrela Amadora, last 10 home games6 of 10
- Vitoria Guimaraes, last 10 away games4 of 10
- League rate, last 12 months (304 games)49%
Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.
Analysis
Our model families split, but the ensemble picks Vitoria Guimaraes, rating it at 44.4% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 6 times, and Estrela Amadora won none of them. Across 6 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.
They arrive from very different football. Estrela Amadora's last 5 produced 16 goals — 3.2 per game; they scored in 3 of them and conceded in 5. Vitoria Guimaraes's 5 produced 8, at 1.6 per game.
Recent form
As of 12 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 181 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
Estrela Amadora: LLDWD
Vitoria Guimaraes: LWDLD
Head-to-head
As of 12 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 181 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 6Games
- 2.50Avg goals
- 33%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-14 | Vitoria Guimaraes vs Estrela Amadora | 2–1 |
| 2025-09-14 | Estrela Amadora vs Vitoria Guimaraes | 0–2 |
| 2025-03-16 | Vitoria Guimaraes vs Estrela Amadora | 2–0 |
| 2024-10-27 | Estrela Amadora vs Vitoria Guimaraes | 2–2 |
| 2024-01-21 | Vitoria Guimaraes vs Estrela Amadora | 3–0 |
| 2023-08-13 | Estrela Amadora vs Vitoria Guimaraes | 0–1 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Estrela Amadora vs Vitoria Guimaraes?
- Tofiko's model favours Vitoria Guimaraes (44% probability), though our model families split on this one.
- What time does Estrela Amadora vs Vitoria Guimaraes kick off?
- Sun, 11 Apr 2027 15:00 GMT — Primeira Liga.
- What is the Estrela Amadora vs Vitoria Guimaraes head-to-head record?
- In their last 6 meetings: 3 home wins, 1 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 2.50 goals per game.