Estrela Amadora crestEstrela AmadoravsVitoria Guimaraes crestVitoria Guimaraes

Estrela Amadora vs Vitoria Guimaraes Prediction, H2H & Form

Primeira LigaSun, 11 Apr 2027 15:00 GMTStatus: scheduled

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Vitoria Guimaraes44%

Tofiko28% / 28% / 44%
  • Estrela Amadora
  • Draw
  • Vitoria Guimaraes

Model families: split (goals models vs Elo)

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Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.

Double Chance

  • Estrela Amadora or draw56%
  • Draw or Vitoria Guimaraes72%
  • Estrela Amadora or Vitoria Guimaraes72%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

  • Over 2.541%
  • Under 2.560%

Both teams to score

  • Estrela Amadora, last 10 home games6 of 10
  • Vitoria Guimaraes, last 10 away games4 of 10
  • League rate, last 12 months (304 games)49%

Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.

Analysis

Our model families split, but the ensemble picks Vitoria Guimaraes, rating it at 44.4% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 6 times, and Estrela Amadora won none of them. Across 6 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.

They arrive from very different football. Estrela Amadora's last 5 produced 16 goals — 3.2 per game; they scored in 3 of them and conceded in 5. Vitoria Guimaraes's 5 produced 8, at 1.6 per game.

Recent form

As of 12 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 181 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.

Estrela Amadora: LLDWD

Vitoria Guimaraes: LWDLD

Head-to-head

As of 12 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 181 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.

  • 6Games
  • 2.50Avg goals
  • 33%Both scored
  • 50%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-02-14Vitoria Guimaraes vs Estrela Amadora2–1
2025-09-14Estrela Amadora vs Vitoria Guimaraes0–2
2025-03-16Vitoria Guimaraes vs Estrela Amadora2–0
2024-10-27Estrela Amadora vs Vitoria Guimaraes2–2
2024-01-21Vitoria Guimaraes vs Estrela Amadora3–0
2023-08-13Estrela Amadora vs Vitoria Guimaraes0–1

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win Estrela Amadora vs Vitoria Guimaraes?
Tofiko's model favours Vitoria Guimaraes (44% probability), though our model families split on this one.
What time does Estrela Amadora vs Vitoria Guimaraes kick off?
Sun, 11 Apr 2027 15:00 GMT — Primeira Liga.
What is the Estrela Amadora vs Vitoria Guimaraes head-to-head record?
In their last 6 meetings: 3 home wins, 1 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 2.50 goals per game.

More predictions

Line-ups are not included; check them an hour before kick-off.

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Reverse fixtureVitória SC vs Estrela28 Nov 2026 →