Aberdeen F.C. crestAberdeen F.C.vsMotherwell FC crestMotherwell FC

Aberdeen F.C. vs Motherwell FC Prediction, H2H & Form

Scottish PremiershipWed, 30 Dec 2026 19:45 GMTStatus: scheduled

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Aberdeen F.C.39%

Tofiko39% / 25% / 36%
  • Aberdeen F.C.
  • Draw
  • Motherwell FC

Model families: split (goals models vs Elo)

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Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.

Double Chance

  • Aberdeen F.C. or draw64%
  • Draw or Motherwell FC61%
  • Aberdeen F.C. or Motherwell FC75%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

  • Over 2.546%
  • Under 2.554%

Both teams to score

  • Aberdeen F.C., last 10 home games3 of 10
  • Motherwell FC, last 10 away games5 of 10
  • League rate, last 12 months (239 games)49%

Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.

Analysis

Our model families split, but the ensemble picks Aberdeen F.C., rating it at 39.0% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 10 times, and Aberdeen F.C. won 3 of 10, with 2 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.

Recent form

As of 12 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 80 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.

Aberdeen F.C.: LWDW

Motherwell FC: LLLLW

Head-to-head

As of 12 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 80 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.

  • 10Games
  • 2.80Avg goals
  • 40%Both scored
  • 40%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-09-15Motherwell FC vs Aberdeen F.C.0–4
2026-02-15Motherwell FC vs Aberdeen F.C.2–0
2025-11-09Aberdeen F.C. vs Motherwell FC1–1
2025-09-27Motherwell FC vs Aberdeen F.C.2–0
2025-03-29Aberdeen F.C. vs Motherwell FC4–1
2025-01-05Motherwell FC vs Aberdeen F.C.2–0
2024-09-14Aberdeen F.C. vs Motherwell FC2–1
2024-04-27Aberdeen vs Motherwell FC1–0
2024-03-16Motherwell FC vs Aberdeen0–1
2024-02-14Aberdeen vs Motherwell FC3–3

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win Aberdeen F.C. vs Motherwell FC?
Tofiko's model favours Aberdeen F.C. (39% probability), though our model families split on this one.
What time does Aberdeen F.C. vs Motherwell FC kick off?
Wed, 30 Dec 2026 19:45 GMT — Scottish Premiership.
What is the Aberdeen F.C. vs Motherwell FC head-to-head record?
In their last 10 meetings: 6 home wins, 2 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 2.80 goals per game.

More predictions

Line-ups are not included; check them an hour before kick-off.

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First legMotherwell 0-4 Aberdeen15 Sept 2026 →