Heart of Midlothian F.C. vs Kilmarnock FC Prediction, H2H & Form
Scottish PremiershipSat, 02 Jan 2027 15:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Heart of Midlothian F.C.64%
- Heart of Midlothian F.C.
- Draw
- Kilmarnock FC
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
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Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.
Double Chance
- Heart of Midlothian F.C. or draw85%
- Draw or Kilmarnock FC36%
- Heart of Midlothian F.C. or Kilmarnock FC79%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
- Over 2.553%
- Under 2.547%
Both teams to score
- Heart of Midlothian F.C., last 10 home games6 of 10
- Kilmarnock FC, last 10 away games4 of 10
- League rate, last 12 months (239 games)49%
Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.
Analysis
Both model families pick Heart of Midlothian F.C., rating it at 64.2% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and Heart of Midlothian F.C. won 2 of 10, with 4 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.
Recent form
As of 12 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 83 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
Heart of Midlothian F.C.: WDLW
Kilmarnock FC: LDWDD
Head-to-head
As of 12 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 83 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 10Games
- 2.00Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 30%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-19 | Kilmarnock FC vs Heart of Midlothian F.C. | 1–1 |
| 2026-03-14 | Kilmarnock FC vs Heart of Midlothian F.C. | 1–0 |
| 2025-12-03 | Heart of Midlothian F.C. vs Kilmarnock FC | 1–1 |
| 2025-10-18 | Kilmarnock FC vs Heart of Midlothian F.C. | 0–3 |
| 2025-01-25 | Heart of Midlothian F.C. vs Kilmarnock FC | 3–2 |
| 2024-12-15 | Kilmarnock FC vs Heart of Midlothian F.C. | 1–0 |
| 2024-10-30 | Heart of Midlothian F.C. vs Kilmarnock FC | 1–2 |
| 2024-04-27 | Kilmarnock vs Heart of Midlothian FC | 0–0 |
| 2024-03-30 | Heart of Midlothian FC vs Kilmarnock | 1–1 |
| 2023-12-02 | Kilmarnock vs Heart of Midlothian FC | 0–1 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Heart of Midlothian F.C. vs Kilmarnock FC?
- Tofiko's model favours Heart of Midlothian F.C. (64% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Heart of Midlothian F.C. vs Kilmarnock FC kick off?
- Sat, 02 Jan 2027 15:00 GMT — Scottish Premiership.
- What is the Heart of Midlothian F.C. vs Kilmarnock FC head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 3 home wins, 4 draws, 3 away wins, averaging 2.00 goals per game.