Bayer 04 Leverkusenvs
FC Schalke 04Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs FC Schalke 04 Prediction, H2H & Stats
German BundesligaSat, 16 Jan 2027 14:30 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Bayer 04 Leverkusen79%
- Bayer 04 Leverkusen 79%
- Draw 14%
- FC Schalke 04 7%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick Bayer 04 Leverkusen, rating it at 79.3%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 4 times, and Bayer 04 Leverkusen won none of them. 4 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 79.3% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 13.7%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- The head-to-head record doesn't support the forecast: 4 games, no win for the side we back.
- Bayer 04 Leverkusen's games are very high-scoring at 4.0 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
Bayer 04 Leverkusen: WWWWD
FC Schalke 04: WWWWL
Head-to-head
- 4Games
- 3.25Avg goals
- 25%Both scored
- 100%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2023-04-01 | Schalke 04 vs Bayer Leverkusen | 0–3 |
| 2022-10-08 | Bayer Leverkusen vs Schalke 04 | 4–0 |
| 2021-04-03 | Bayer Leverkusen vs Schalke 04 | 2–1 |
| 2020-12-06 | Schalke 04 vs Bayer Leverkusen | 0–3 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs FC Schalke 04?
- Tofiko's model favours Bayer 04 Leverkusen (79% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs FC Schalke 04 kick off?
- Sat, 16 Jan 2027 14:30 GMT — German Bundesliga.
- What is the Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs FC Schalke 04 head-to-head record?
- In their last 4 meetings: 2 home wins, 0 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 3.25 goals per game.