1. FC Union Berlinvs
RB Leipzig1. FC Union Berlin vs RB Leipzig Prediction, H2H & Form
German BundesligaSat, 21 Nov 2026 14:30 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Our pick
RB Leipzig or draw77%
1X2: model backs RB Leipzig at 48% — under 50%, so the pick covers the draw too.
- 1. FC Union Berlin
- Draw
- RB Leipzig
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
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Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.
Double Chance
- 1. FC Union Berlin or draw52%
- Draw or RB Leipzig77%
- 1. FC Union Berlin or RB Leipzig71%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
- Over 2.549%
- Under 2.551%
Both teams to score
- 1. FC Union Berlin, last 10 home games8 of 10
- RB Leipzig, last 10 away games7 of 10
- League rate, last 12 months (297 games)63%
Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.
Analysis
Both model families pick RB Leipzig, rating it at 48.2% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and 1. FC Union Berlin won 5 of 10, with 2 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.
What to keep in mind
- RB Leipzig's games are very high-scoring at 4.4 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
Recent form
As of 13 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 39 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
1. FC Union Berlin: WWLLL
RB Leipzig: WLWLL
Head-to-head
As of 13 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 39 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 10Games
- 2.50Avg goals
- 60%Both scored
- 70%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-24 | RB Leipzig vs 1. FC Union Berlin | 3–1 |
| 2025-12-12 | 1. FC Union Berlin vs RB Leipzig | 3–1 |
| 2025-02-01 | 1. FC Union Berlin vs RB Leipzig | 0–0 |
| 2024-09-14 | RB Leipzig vs 1. FC Union Berlin | 0–0 |
| 2024-02-04 | RB Leipzig vs 1. FC Union Berlin | 2–0 |
| 2023-09-03 | 1. FC Union Berlin vs RB Leipzig | 0–3 |
| 2023-02-11 | RB Leipzig vs 1. FC Union Berlin | 1–2 |
| 2022-08-20 | 1. FC Union Berlin vs RB Leipzig | 2–1 |
| 2022-04-23 | RB Leipzig vs 1. FC Union Berlin | 1–2 |
| 2021-12-03 | 1. FC Union Berlin vs RB Leipzig | 2–1 |
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FAQ
- Who will win 1. FC Union Berlin vs RB Leipzig?
- Tofiko's model favours RB Leipzig (48% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does 1. FC Union Berlin vs RB Leipzig kick off?
- Sat, 21 Nov 2026 14:30 GMT — German Bundesliga.
- What is the 1. FC Union Berlin vs RB Leipzig head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 5 home wins, 2 draws, 3 away wins, averaging 2.50 goals per game.