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1. FC Union Berlin crest1. FC Union BerlinvsRB Leipzig crestRB Leipzig

1. FC Union Berlin vs RB Leipzig Prediction, H2H & Stats

German BundesligaSat, 21 Nov 2026 14:30 GMTStatus: scheduled

Tofiko prediction

Model backs RB Leipzig48%

1. FC Union Berlin 23%
Draw 29%
RB Leipzig 48%
  • 1. FC Union Berlin 23%
  • Draw 29%
  • RB Leipzig 48%

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

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Analysis

Both model families pick RB Leipzig, rating it at 48.2%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 10 times, and 1. FC Union Berlin won 5 of 10, with 2 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

1. FC Union Berlin: LLDLD

RB Leipzig: WWLLW

Head-to-head

  • 10Games
  • 2.50Avg goals
  • 60%Both scored
  • 70%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-04-24RB Leipzig vs 1. FC Union Berlin3–1
2025-12-121. FC Union Berlin vs RB Leipzig3–1
2025-02-011. FC Union Berlin vs RB Leipzig0–0
2024-09-14RB Leipzig vs 1. FC Union Berlin0–0
2024-02-04RB Leipzig vs 1. FC Union Berlin2–0
2023-09-031. FC Union Berlin vs RB Leipzig0–3
2023-02-11RB Leipzig vs 1. FC Union Berlin1–2
2022-08-201. FC Union Berlin vs RB Leipzig2–1
2022-04-23RB Leipzig vs 1. FC Union Berlin1–2
2021-12-031. FC Union Berlin vs RB Leipzig2–1

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FAQ

Who will win 1. FC Union Berlin vs RB Leipzig?
Tofiko's model favours RB Leipzig (48% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does 1. FC Union Berlin vs RB Leipzig kick off?
Sat, 21 Nov 2026 14:30 GMT — German Bundesliga.
What is the 1. FC Union Berlin vs RB Leipzig head-to-head record?
In their last 10 meetings: 5 home wins, 2 draws, 3 away wins, averaging 2.50 goals per game.

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