Bayer 04 Leverkusenvs
SC Paderborn 07Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs SC Paderborn 07 Prediction, H2H & Stats
German BundesligaSat, 21 Nov 2026 14:30 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Bayer 04 Leverkusen67%
- Bayer 04 Leverkusen 67%
- Draw 21%
- SC Paderborn 07 11%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick Bayer 04 Leverkusen, rating it at 67.4%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
They arrive from very different football. Bayer 04 Leverkusen's last 5 produced 20 goals — 4.0 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 2. SC Paderborn 07's 5 produced 10, at 2.0 per game.
The model puts the draw at 21.4%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Bayer 04 Leverkusen's games are very high-scoring at 4.0 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
Bayer 04 Leverkusen: WWWWD
SC Paderborn 07: WWDDW
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs SC Paderborn 07?
- Tofiko's model favours Bayer 04 Leverkusen (67% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs SC Paderborn 07 kick off?
- Sat, 21 Nov 2026 14:30 GMT — German Bundesliga.