FC Schalke 04 vs VfB Stuttgart Prediction, H2H & Stats
German BundesligaSat, 21 Nov 2026 14:30 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs VfB Stuttgart66%
- FC Schalke 04 14%
- Draw 20%
- VfB Stuttgart 66%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick VfB Stuttgart, rating it at 65.9%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 4 times, and FC Schalke 04 won none of them. 4 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 65.9% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
They arrive from very different football. VfB Stuttgart's last 5 produced 27 goals — 5.4 per game; they scored in 4 of them and conceded in 3. FC Schalke 04's 5 produced 18, at 3.6 per game.
The model puts the draw at 20.3%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- VfB Stuttgart's games are very high-scoring at 5.4 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
FC Schalke 04: WWWWL
VfB Stuttgart: WWWWL
Head-to-head
- 4Games
- 3.25Avg goals
- 100%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2023-02-25 | Schalke 04 vs VfB Stuttgart | 2–1 |
| 2022-09-03 | VfB Stuttgart vs Schalke 04 | 1–1 |
| 2021-02-27 | VfB Stuttgart vs Schalke 04 | 5–1 |
| 2020-10-30 | Schalke 04 vs VfB Stuttgart | 1–1 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win FC Schalke 04 vs VfB Stuttgart?
- Tofiko's model favours VfB Stuttgart (66% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does FC Schalke 04 vs VfB Stuttgart kick off?
- Sat, 21 Nov 2026 14:30 GMT — German Bundesliga.
- What is the FC Schalke 04 vs VfB Stuttgart head-to-head record?
- In their last 4 meetings: 2 home wins, 2 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 3.25 goals per game.