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FC Schalke 04 crestFC Schalke 04vsVfB Stuttgart crestVfB Stuttgart

FC Schalke 04 vs VfB Stuttgart Prediction, H2H & Stats

German BundesligaSat, 21 Nov 2026 14:30 GMTStatus: scheduled

Tofiko prediction

Model backs VfB Stuttgart66%

FC Schalke 04 14%
Draw 20%
VfB Stuttgart 66%
  • FC Schalke 04 14%
  • Draw 20%
  • VfB Stuttgart 66%

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

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Analysis

Both model families pick VfB Stuttgart, rating it at 65.9%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 4 times, and FC Schalke 04 won none of them. 4 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 65.9% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.

They arrive from very different football. VfB Stuttgart's last 5 produced 27 goals — 5.4 per game; they scored in 4 of them and conceded in 3. FC Schalke 04's 5 produced 18, at 3.6 per game.

The model puts the draw at 20.3%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • VfB Stuttgart's games are very high-scoring at 5.4 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

FC Schalke 04: WWWWL

VfB Stuttgart: WWWWL

Head-to-head

  • 4Games
  • 3.25Avg goals
  • 100%Both scored
  • 50%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2023-02-25Schalke 04 vs VfB Stuttgart2–1
2022-09-03VfB Stuttgart vs Schalke 041–1
2021-02-27VfB Stuttgart vs Schalke 045–1
2020-10-30Schalke 04 vs VfB Stuttgart1–1

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FAQ

Who will win FC Schalke 04 vs VfB Stuttgart?
Tofiko's model favours VfB Stuttgart (66% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does FC Schalke 04 vs VfB Stuttgart kick off?
Sat, 21 Nov 2026 14:30 GMT — German Bundesliga.
What is the FC Schalke 04 vs VfB Stuttgart head-to-head record?
In their last 4 meetings: 2 home wins, 2 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 3.25 goals per game.

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