FC Augsburg crestFC Augsburgvs1.FSV Mainz 05 crest1.FSV Mainz 05

FC Augsburg vs 1.FSV Mainz 05 Prediction, H2H & Form

German BundesligaSun, 22 Nov 2026 14:30 GMTStatus: scheduled

Tofiko prediction

Model backs FC Augsburg36%

Tofiko36% / 31% / 33%
  • FC Augsburg
  • Draw
  • 1.FSV Mainz 05

Model families: split (goals models vs Elo)

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Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.

Double Chance

  • FC Augsburg or draw67%
  • Draw or 1.FSV Mainz 0564%
  • FC Augsburg or 1.FSV Mainz 0569%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

  • Over 2.547%
  • Under 2.553%

Both teams to score

  • FC Augsburg, last 10 home games9 of 10
  • 1.FSV Mainz 05, last 10 away games4 of 10
  • League rate, last 12 months (297 games)63%

Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.

Analysis

Our model families split, but the ensemble picks FC Augsburg, rating it at 36.1% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 10 times, and FC Augsburg won none of them. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.

What to keep in mind

  • 1.FSV Mainz 05's games are very high-scoring at 5.2 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.

Recent form

As of 13 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 40 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.

FC Augsburg: DDLDW

1.FSV Mainz 05: LWWLW

Head-to-head

As of 13 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 40 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.

  • 10Games
  • 3.10Avg goals
  • 70%Both scored
  • 70%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-02-071.FSV Mainz 05 vs FC Augsburg2–0
2025-09-20FC Augsburg vs 1.FSV Mainz 051–4
2025-02-081.FSV Mainz 05 vs FC Augsburg0–0
2024-09-20FC Augsburg vs 1.FSV Mainz 052–3
2024-02-171.FSV Mainz 05 vs Augsburg1–0
2023-09-23Augsburg vs 1.FSV Mainz 052–1
2023-02-111.FSV Mainz 05 vs Augsburg3–1
2022-08-20Augsburg vs 1.FSV Mainz 051–2
2022-04-06Augsburg vs 1.FSV Mainz 052–1
2021-10-221.FSV Mainz 05 vs Augsburg4–1

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win FC Augsburg vs 1.FSV Mainz 05?
Tofiko's model favours FC Augsburg (36% probability), though our model families split on this one.
What time does FC Augsburg vs 1.FSV Mainz 05 kick off?
Sun, 22 Nov 2026 14:30 GMT — German Bundesliga.
What is the FC Augsburg vs 1.FSV Mainz 05 head-to-head record?
In their last 10 meetings: 6 home wins, 1 draws, 3 away wins, averaging 3.10 goals per game.

More predictions

Line-ups are not included; check them an hour before kick-off.

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Reverse fixtureFSV Mainz 05 vs FC Augsburg20 Mar 2027 →