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FC Augsburg crestFC Augsburgvs1.FSV Mainz 05 crest1.FSV Mainz 05

FC Augsburg vs 1.FSV Mainz 05 Prediction, H2H & Stats

German BundesligaSat, 21 Nov 2026 14:30 GMTStatus: scheduled

Tofiko prediction

Model backs FC Augsburg36%

FC Augsburg 36%
Draw 31%
1.FSV Mainz 05 33%
  • FC Augsburg 36%
  • Draw 31%
  • 1.FSV Mainz 05 33%

Model families: split (goals models vs Elo)

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Analysis

Our model families split, but the ensemble picks FC Augsburg, rating it at 36.1%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 10 times, and FC Augsburg won none of them. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • 1.FSV Mainz 05's games are very high-scoring at 5.0 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

FC Augsburg: LDLWW

1.FSV Mainz 05: DWWWW

Head-to-head

  • 10Games
  • 3.10Avg goals
  • 70%Both scored
  • 70%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-02-071.FSV Mainz 05 vs FC Augsburg2–0
2025-09-20FC Augsburg vs 1.FSV Mainz 051–4
2025-02-081.FSV Mainz 05 vs FC Augsburg0–0
2024-09-20FC Augsburg vs 1.FSV Mainz 052–3
2024-02-171.FSV Mainz 05 vs Augsburg1–0
2023-09-23Augsburg vs 1.FSV Mainz 052–1
2023-02-111.FSV Mainz 05 vs Augsburg3–1
2022-08-20Augsburg vs 1.FSV Mainz 051–2
2022-04-06Augsburg vs 1.FSV Mainz 052–1
2021-10-221.FSV Mainz 05 vs Augsburg4–1

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win FC Augsburg vs 1.FSV Mainz 05?
Tofiko's model favours FC Augsburg (36% probability), though our model families split on this one.
What time does FC Augsburg vs 1.FSV Mainz 05 kick off?
Sat, 21 Nov 2026 14:30 GMT — German Bundesliga.
What is the FC Augsburg vs 1.FSV Mainz 05 head-to-head record?
In their last 10 meetings: 6 home wins, 1 draws, 3 away wins, averaging 3.10 goals per game.

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