Borussia Monchengladbach crestBorussia MonchengladbachvsBorussia Dortmund crestBorussia Dortmund

Borussia Monchengladbach vs Borussia Dortmund Prediction, H2H & Form

German BundesligaSat, 21 Nov 2026 14:30 GMTStatus: scheduled

Tofiko prediction

Our pick

Borussia Dortmund to win56%

1X2: model backs Borussia Dortmund at 56%.

Tofiko21% / 23% / 56%
  • Borussia Monchengladbach
  • Draw
  • Borussia Dortmund

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

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More markets

Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.

Double Chance

  • Borussia Monchengladbach or draw44%
  • Draw or Borussia Dortmund79%
  • Borussia Monchengladbach or Borussia Dortmund77%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

  • Over 2.571%
  • Under 2.529%

Both teams to score

  • Borussia Monchengladbach, last 10 home games6 of 10
  • Borussia Dortmund, last 10 away games5 of 10
  • League rate, last 12 months (297 games)63%

Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.

Analysis

Both model families pick Borussia Dortmund, rating it at 55.8% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 10 times, and Borussia Monchengladbach won 1 of 10, with 1 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.

What to keep in mind

  • Borussia Monchengladbach's games are very high-scoring at 4.0 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.

Recent form

As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 39 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.

Borussia Monchengladbach: LDWLL

Borussia Dortmund: DWWWW

Head-to-head

As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 39 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.

  • 10Games
  • 3.90Avg goals
  • 60%Both scored
  • 60%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-05-03Borussia Monchengladbach vs Borussia Dortmund1–0
2025-12-19Borussia Dortmund vs Borussia Monchengladbach2–0
2025-04-20Borussia Dortmund vs Borussia Monchengladbach3–2
2024-12-07Borussia Monchengladbach vs Borussia Dortmund1–1
2024-04-13Monchengladbach vs Borussia Dortmund1–2
2023-11-25Borussia Dortmund vs Monchengladbach4–2
2023-05-13Borussia Dortmund vs Monchengladbach5–2
2022-11-11Monchengladbach vs Borussia Dortmund4–2
2022-02-20Borussia Dortmund vs Monchengladbach6–0
2021-09-25Monchengladbach vs Borussia Dortmund1–0

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FAQ

Who will win Borussia Monchengladbach vs Borussia Dortmund?
Tofiko's model favours Borussia Dortmund (56% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Borussia Monchengladbach vs Borussia Dortmund kick off?
Sat, 21 Nov 2026 14:30 GMT — German Bundesliga.
What is the Borussia Monchengladbach vs Borussia Dortmund head-to-head record?
In their last 10 meetings: 8 home wins, 1 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 3.90 goals per game.

More predictions

Line-ups are not included; check them an hour before kick-off.

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Reverse fixtureBorussia Dortmund vs Borussia Mönchengladbach20 Mar 2027 →