Borussia Monchengladbachvs
Borussia DortmundBorussia Monchengladbach vs Borussia Dortmund Prediction, H2H & Stats
German BundesligaSat, 21 Nov 2026 14:30 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Borussia Dortmund56%
- Borussia Monchengladbach 21%
- Draw 23%
- Borussia Dortmund 56%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick Borussia Dortmund, rating it at 55.8%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and Borussia Monchengladbach won 1 of 10, with 1 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
They arrive from very different football. Borussia Monchengladbach's last 5 produced 25 goals — 5.0 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 3. Borussia Dortmund's 5 produced 12, at 2.4 per game.
The model puts the draw at 23.2%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Borussia Monchengladbach's games are very high-scoring at 5.0 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
Borussia Monchengladbach: WWWWW
Borussia Dortmund: WDLWW
Head-to-head
- 10Games
- 3.90Avg goals
- 60%Both scored
- 60%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-03 | Borussia Monchengladbach vs Borussia Dortmund | 1–0 |
| 2025-12-19 | Borussia Dortmund vs Borussia Monchengladbach | 2–0 |
| 2025-04-20 | Borussia Dortmund vs Borussia Monchengladbach | 3–2 |
| 2024-12-07 | Borussia Monchengladbach vs Borussia Dortmund | 1–1 |
| 2024-04-13 | Monchengladbach vs Borussia Dortmund | 1–2 |
| 2023-11-25 | Borussia Dortmund vs Monchengladbach | 4–2 |
| 2023-05-13 | Borussia Dortmund vs Monchengladbach | 5–2 |
| 2022-11-11 | Monchengladbach vs Borussia Dortmund | 4–2 |
| 2022-02-20 | Borussia Dortmund vs Monchengladbach | 6–0 |
| 2021-09-25 | Monchengladbach vs Borussia Dortmund | 1–0 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Borussia Monchengladbach vs Borussia Dortmund?
- Tofiko's model favours Borussia Dortmund (56% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Borussia Monchengladbach vs Borussia Dortmund kick off?
- Sat, 21 Nov 2026 14:30 GMT — German Bundesliga.
- What is the Borussia Monchengladbach vs Borussia Dortmund head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 8 home wins, 1 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 3.90 goals per game.