Bayer 04 Leverkusen crestBayer 04 LeverkusenvsBorussia Dortmund crestBorussia Dortmund

Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs Borussia Dortmund Prediction, H2H & Form

German BundesligaSat, 03 Apr 2027 13:30 GMTStatus: scheduled

Tofiko prediction

Our pick

Bayer 04 Leverkusen or draw71%

1X2: model backs Bayer 04 Leverkusen at 45% — under 50%, so the pick covers the draw too.

Tofiko45% / 26% / 29%
  • Bayer 04 Leverkusen
  • Draw
  • Borussia Dortmund

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

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Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.

Double Chance

  • Bayer 04 Leverkusen or draw71%
  • Draw or Borussia Dortmund55%
  • Bayer 04 Leverkusen or Borussia Dortmund74%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

  • Over 2.568%
  • Under 2.532%

Both teams to score

  • Bayer 04 Leverkusen, last 10 home games4 of 10
  • Borussia Dortmund, last 10 away games5 of 10
  • League rate, last 12 months (297 games)63%

Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.

Analysis

Both model families pick Bayer 04 Leverkusen, rating it at 44.8% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 10 times, and Bayer 04 Leverkusen won 2 of 10, with 2 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.

Recent form

As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 171 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.

Bayer 04 Leverkusen: WWWDW

Borussia Dortmund: DWWWW

Head-to-head

As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 171 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.

  • 10Games
  • 3.60Avg goals
  • 70%Both scored
  • 50%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-04-11Borussia Dortmund vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen0–1
2025-11-29Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs Borussia Dortmund1–2
2025-05-11Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs Borussia Dortmund2–4
2025-01-10Borussia Dortmund vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen2–3
2024-04-21Borussia Dortmund vs Bayer Leverkusen1–1
2023-12-03Bayer Leverkusen vs Borussia Dortmund1–1
2023-01-29Bayer Leverkusen vs Borussia Dortmund0–2
2022-08-06Borussia Dortmund vs Bayer Leverkusen1–0
2022-02-06Borussia Dortmund vs Bayer Leverkusen2–5
2021-09-11Bayer Leverkusen vs Borussia Dortmund3–4

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs Borussia Dortmund?
Tofiko's model favours Bayer 04 Leverkusen (45% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs Borussia Dortmund kick off?
Sat, 03 Apr 2027 13:30 GMT — German Bundesliga.
What is the Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs Borussia Dortmund head-to-head record?
In their last 10 meetings: 1 home wins, 2 draws, 7 away wins, averaging 3.60 goals per game.

More predictions

Line-ups are not included; check them an hour before kick-off.

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Reverse fixtureBorussia Dortmund vs Bayer Leverkusen29 Nov 2026 →