Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs Borussia Dortmund Prediction, H2H & Form
German BundesligaSat, 03 Apr 2027 13:30 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Our pick
Bayer 04 Leverkusen or draw71%
1X2: model backs Bayer 04 Leverkusen at 45% — under 50%, so the pick covers the draw too.
- Bayer 04 Leverkusen
- Draw
- Borussia Dortmund
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
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Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.
Double Chance
- Bayer 04 Leverkusen or draw71%
- Draw or Borussia Dortmund55%
- Bayer 04 Leverkusen or Borussia Dortmund74%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
- Over 2.568%
- Under 2.532%
Both teams to score
- Bayer 04 Leverkusen, last 10 home games4 of 10
- Borussia Dortmund, last 10 away games5 of 10
- League rate, last 12 months (297 games)63%
Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.
Analysis
Both model families pick Bayer 04 Leverkusen, rating it at 44.8% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and Bayer 04 Leverkusen won 2 of 10, with 2 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.
Recent form
As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 171 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
Bayer 04 Leverkusen: WWWDW
Borussia Dortmund: DWWWW
Head-to-head
As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 171 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 10Games
- 3.60Avg goals
- 70%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-11 | Borussia Dortmund vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 0–1 |
| 2025-11-29 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs Borussia Dortmund | 1–2 |
| 2025-05-11 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs Borussia Dortmund | 2–4 |
| 2025-01-10 | Borussia Dortmund vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 2–3 |
| 2024-04-21 | Borussia Dortmund vs Bayer Leverkusen | 1–1 |
| 2023-12-03 | Bayer Leverkusen vs Borussia Dortmund | 1–1 |
| 2023-01-29 | Bayer Leverkusen vs Borussia Dortmund | 0–2 |
| 2022-08-06 | Borussia Dortmund vs Bayer Leverkusen | 1–0 |
| 2022-02-06 | Borussia Dortmund vs Bayer Leverkusen | 2–5 |
| 2021-09-11 | Bayer Leverkusen vs Borussia Dortmund | 3–4 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs Borussia Dortmund?
- Tofiko's model favours Bayer 04 Leverkusen (45% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs Borussia Dortmund kick off?
- Sat, 03 Apr 2027 13:30 GMT — German Bundesliga.
- What is the Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs Borussia Dortmund head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 1 home wins, 2 draws, 7 away wins, averaging 3.60 goals per game.