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FC Schalke 04 crestFC Schalke 04vsBorussia Monchengladbach crestBorussia Monchengladbach

FC Schalke 04 vs Borussia Monchengladbach Prediction, H2H & Stats

German BundesligaSat, 19 Dec 2026 14:30 GMTStatus: scheduled

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Borussia Monchengladbach55%

FC Schalke 04 22%
Draw 23%
Borussia Monchengladbach 55%
  • FC Schalke 04 22%
  • Draw 23%
  • Borussia Monchengladbach 55%

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

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Analysis

Both model families pick Borussia Monchengladbach, rating it at 55.2%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 4 times, and FC Schalke 04 won none of them. 4 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 55.2% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.

The model puts the draw at 23.0%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • The head-to-head record doesn't support the forecast: 4 games, no win for the side we back.
  • Borussia Monchengladbach's games are very high-scoring at 5.0 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

FC Schalke 04: WWWWL

Borussia Monchengladbach: WWWWW

Head-to-head

  • 4Games
  • 3.00Avg goals
  • 50%Both scored
  • 75%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2023-02-04Monchengladbach vs Schalke 040–0
2022-08-13Schalke 04 vs Monchengladbach2–2
2021-03-20Schalke 04 vs Monchengladbach0–3
2020-11-28Monchengladbach vs Schalke 044–1

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win FC Schalke 04 vs Borussia Monchengladbach?
Tofiko's model favours Borussia Monchengladbach (55% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does FC Schalke 04 vs Borussia Monchengladbach kick off?
Sat, 19 Dec 2026 14:30 GMT — German Bundesliga.
What is the FC Schalke 04 vs Borussia Monchengladbach head-to-head record?
In their last 4 meetings: 1 home wins, 2 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 3.00 goals per game.

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