1. FC Union Berlin vs 1.FSV Mainz 05 Prediction, H2H & Form
German BundesligaSat, 03 Apr 2027 13:30 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs 1. FC Union Berlin39%
- 1. FC Union Berlin
- Draw
- 1.FSV Mainz 05
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick 1. FC Union Berlin, rating it at 38.8% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and 1. FC Union Berlin won 6 of 10, with 4 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.
What to keep in mind
- 1. FC Union Berlin's games are very high-scoring at 5.4 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
Recent form
As of 23 Sep 2026. Kickoff is still 192 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
1. FC Union Berlin: LLLDW
1.FSV Mainz 05: WLWDW
Head-to-head
As of 23 Sep 2026. Kickoff is still 192 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 10Games
- 3.00Avg goals
- 90%Both scored
- 70%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-10 | 1.FSV Mainz 05 vs 1. FC Union Berlin | 1–3 |
| 2026-01-10 | 1. FC Union Berlin vs 1.FSV Mainz 05 | 2–2 |
| 2025-01-19 | 1. FC Union Berlin vs 1.FSV Mainz 05 | 2–1 |
| 2024-08-24 | 1.FSV Mainz 05 vs 1. FC Union Berlin | 1–1 |
| 2024-02-07 | 1.FSV Mainz 05 vs 1. FC Union Berlin | 1–1 |
| 2023-08-20 | 1. FC Union Berlin vs 1.FSV Mainz 05 | 4–1 |
| 2023-02-04 | 1. FC Union Berlin vs 1.FSV Mainz 05 | 2–1 |
| 2022-08-14 | 1.FSV Mainz 05 vs 1. FC Union Berlin | 0–0 |
| 2022-02-26 | 1. FC Union Berlin vs 1.FSV Mainz 05 | 3–1 |
| 2021-10-03 | 1.FSV Mainz 05 vs 1. FC Union Berlin | 1–2 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win 1. FC Union Berlin vs 1.FSV Mainz 05?
- Tofiko's model favours 1. FC Union Berlin (39% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does 1. FC Union Berlin vs 1.FSV Mainz 05 kick off?
- Sat, 03 Apr 2027 13:30 GMT — German Bundesliga.
- What is the 1. FC Union Berlin vs 1.FSV Mainz 05 head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 4 home wins, 4 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 3.00 goals per game.