1. FC Union Berlinvs
1.FSV Mainz 051. FC Union Berlin vs 1.FSV Mainz 05 Prediction, H2H & Form
German BundesligaSat, 03 Apr 2027 13:30 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Our pick
1. FC Union Berlin or draw71%
1X2: model backs 1. FC Union Berlin at 39% — under 50%, so the pick covers the draw too.
- 1. FC Union Berlin
- Draw
- 1.FSV Mainz 05
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Free. Saves this pick to My Picks, settles it when the match ends, and can email you an hour before kick-off and with the result — if you say yes.
More markets
Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.
Double Chance
- 1. FC Union Berlin or draw71%
- Draw or 1.FSV Mainz 0561%
- 1. FC Union Berlin or 1.FSV Mainz 0568%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
- Over 2.544%
- Under 2.556%
Both teams to score
- 1. FC Union Berlin, last 10 home games8 of 10
- 1.FSV Mainz 05, last 10 away games4 of 10
- League rate, last 12 months (297 games)63%
Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.
Analysis
Both model families pick 1. FC Union Berlin, rating it at 38.8% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and 1. FC Union Berlin won 6 of 10, with 4 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.
They arrive from very different football. 1.FSV Mainz 05's last 5 produced 26 goals — 5.2 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 3. 1. FC Union Berlin's 5 produced 17, at 3.4 per game.
What to keep in mind
- 1.FSV Mainz 05's games are very high-scoring at 5.2 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
Recent form
As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 171 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
1. FC Union Berlin: WWLLL
1.FSV Mainz 05: LWWLW
Head-to-head
As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 171 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 10Games
- 3.00Avg goals
- 90%Both scored
- 70%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-10 | 1.FSV Mainz 05 vs 1. FC Union Berlin | 1–3 |
| 2026-01-10 | 1. FC Union Berlin vs 1.FSV Mainz 05 | 2–2 |
| 2025-01-19 | 1. FC Union Berlin vs 1.FSV Mainz 05 | 2–1 |
| 2024-08-24 | 1.FSV Mainz 05 vs 1. FC Union Berlin | 1–1 |
| 2024-02-07 | 1.FSV Mainz 05 vs 1. FC Union Berlin | 1–1 |
| 2023-08-20 | 1. FC Union Berlin vs 1.FSV Mainz 05 | 4–1 |
| 2023-02-04 | 1. FC Union Berlin vs 1.FSV Mainz 05 | 2–1 |
| 2022-08-14 | 1.FSV Mainz 05 vs 1. FC Union Berlin | 0–0 |
| 2022-02-26 | 1. FC Union Berlin vs 1.FSV Mainz 05 | 3–1 |
| 2021-10-03 | 1.FSV Mainz 05 vs 1. FC Union Berlin | 1–2 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win 1. FC Union Berlin vs 1.FSV Mainz 05?
- Tofiko's model favours 1. FC Union Berlin (39% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does 1. FC Union Berlin vs 1.FSV Mainz 05 kick off?
- Sat, 03 Apr 2027 13:30 GMT — German Bundesliga.
- What is the 1. FC Union Berlin vs 1.FSV Mainz 05 head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 4 home wins, 4 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 3.00 goals per game.