1. FC Union Berlin crest1. FC Union Berlinvs1.FSV Mainz 05 crest1.FSV Mainz 05

1. FC Union Berlin vs 1.FSV Mainz 05 Prediction, H2H & Form

German BundesligaSat, 03 Apr 2027 13:30 GMTStatus: scheduled

Tofiko prediction

Model backs 1. FC Union Berlin39%

Tofiko39% / 32% / 29%
  • 1. FC Union Berlin
  • Draw
  • 1.FSV Mainz 05

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

Track this pick — follow it in My Picks

Analysis

Both model families pick 1. FC Union Berlin, rating it at 38.8% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 10 times, and 1. FC Union Berlin won 6 of 10, with 4 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.

What to keep in mind

  • 1. FC Union Berlin's games are very high-scoring at 5.4 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.

Recent form

As of 23 Sep 2026. Kickoff is still 192 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.

1. FC Union Berlin: LLLDW

1.FSV Mainz 05: WLWDW

Head-to-head

As of 23 Sep 2026. Kickoff is still 192 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.

  • 10Games
  • 3.00Avg goals
  • 90%Both scored
  • 70%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-05-101.FSV Mainz 05 vs 1. FC Union Berlin1–3
2026-01-101. FC Union Berlin vs 1.FSV Mainz 052–2
2025-01-191. FC Union Berlin vs 1.FSV Mainz 052–1
2024-08-241.FSV Mainz 05 vs 1. FC Union Berlin1–1
2024-02-071.FSV Mainz 05 vs 1. FC Union Berlin1–1
2023-08-201. FC Union Berlin vs 1.FSV Mainz 054–1
2023-02-041. FC Union Berlin vs 1.FSV Mainz 052–1
2022-08-141.FSV Mainz 05 vs 1. FC Union Berlin0–0
2022-02-261. FC Union Berlin vs 1.FSV Mainz 053–1
2021-10-031.FSV Mainz 05 vs 1. FC Union Berlin1–2

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FAQ

Who will win 1. FC Union Berlin vs 1.FSV Mainz 05?
Tofiko's model favours 1. FC Union Berlin (39% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does 1. FC Union Berlin vs 1.FSV Mainz 05 kick off?
Sat, 03 Apr 2027 13:30 GMT — German Bundesliga.
What is the 1. FC Union Berlin vs 1.FSV Mainz 05 head-to-head record?
In their last 10 meetings: 4 home wins, 4 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 3.00 goals per game.

More predictions

Line-ups are not included; check them an hour before kick-off.

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Reverse fixtureFSV Mainz 05 vs Union Berlin28 Nov 2026 →