FC Bayern Munich crestFC Bayern MunichvsSC Freiburg crestSC Freiburg

FC Bayern Munich vs SC Freiburg Prediction, H2H & Form

German BundesligaWed, 03 Mar 2027 19:30 GMTStatus: scheduled

Tofiko prediction

Our pick

FC Bayern Munich to win76%

1X2: model backs FC Bayern Munich at 76%.

Tofiko76% / 16% / 8%
  • FC Bayern Munich
  • Draw
  • SC Freiburg

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

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Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.

Double Chance

  • FC Bayern Munich or draw92%
  • Draw or SC Freiburg24%
  • FC Bayern Munich or SC Freiburg84%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

  • Over 2.578%
  • Under 2.522%

Both teams to score

  • FC Bayern Munich, last 10 home games7 of 10
  • SC Freiburg, last 10 away games7 of 10
  • League rate, last 12 months (297 games)63%

Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.

Analysis

Both model families pick FC Bayern Munich, rating it at 76.2% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 10 times, and FC Bayern Munich won 4 of 10, with 1 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.

What to keep in mind

  • FC Bayern Munich's games are very high-scoring at 5.0 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.

Recent form

As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 141 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.

FC Bayern Munich: DDWWW

SC Freiburg: WWDWW

Head-to-head

As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 141 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.

  • 10Games
  • 3.90Avg goals
  • 60%Both scored
  • 80%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-04-04SC Freiburg vs FC Bayern Munich2–3
2025-11-22FC Bayern Munich vs SC Freiburg6–2
2025-01-25SC Freiburg vs FC Bayern Munich1–2
2024-09-01FC Bayern Munich vs SC Freiburg2–0
2024-03-01SC Freiburg vs Bayern Munich2–2
2023-10-08Bayern Munich vs SC Freiburg3–0
2023-04-08SC Freiburg vs Bayern Munich0–1
2022-10-16Bayern Munich vs SC Freiburg5–0
2022-04-02SC Freiburg vs Bayern Munich1–4
2021-11-06Bayern Munich vs SC Freiburg2–1

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win FC Bayern Munich vs SC Freiburg?
Tofiko's model favours FC Bayern Munich (76% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does FC Bayern Munich vs SC Freiburg kick off?
Wed, 03 Mar 2027 19:30 GMT — German Bundesliga.
What is the FC Bayern Munich vs SC Freiburg head-to-head record?
In their last 10 meetings: 5 home wins, 1 draws, 4 away wins, averaging 3.90 goals per game.

More predictions

Line-ups are not included; check them an hour before kick-off.

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Reverse fixtureSC Freiburg vs Bayern München25 Oct 2026 →