Burnley F.C.vs
AFC BournemouthBurnley F.C. 0-0 AFC Bournemouth — Result, H2H & Form
English Premier LeagueSat, 14 Mar 2026 15:00 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs AFC Bournemouth46%
- Burnley F.C. 29%
- Draw 24%
- AFC Bournemouth 46%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.
Analysis
Both model families pick AFC Bournemouth, rating it at 46.4%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 4 times, and Burnley F.C. won none of them. 4 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 46.4% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
They arrive from very different football. AFC Bournemouth's last 5 produced 23 goals — 4.6 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 5. Burnley F.C.'s 5 produced 15, at 3.0 per game.
The model puts the draw at 24.4%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- AFC Bournemouth's games are very high-scoring at 4.6 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 1 Sep 2026.
Burnley F.C.: LDLDD
AFC Bournemouth: DLLDW
Head-to-head
As of 1 Sep 2026.
- 4Games
- 1.75Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 25%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-14 | Burnley F.C. vs AFC Bournemouth | 0–0 |
| 2025-12-20 | AFC Bournemouth vs Burnley F.C. | 1–1 |
| 2024-03-03 | Burnley vs AFC Bournemouth | 0–2 |
| 2023-10-28 | AFC Bournemouth vs Burnley | 2–1 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Burnley F.C. vs AFC Bournemouth?
- Tofiko's model favours AFC Bournemouth (46% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Burnley F.C. vs AFC Bournemouth kick off?
- Sat, 14 Mar 2026 15:00 GMT — English Premier League.
- What is the Burnley F.C. vs AFC Bournemouth head-to-head record?
- In their last 4 meetings: 1 home wins, 2 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 1.75 goals per game.