Everton F.C.vs
Chelsea F.C.Everton F.C. vs Chelsea F.C. Prediction, H2H & Form
English Premier LeagueSat, 17 Oct 2026 11:30 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Chelsea F.C.38%
- Everton F.C.
- Draw
- Chelsea F.C.
Model families: split (goals models vs Elo)
Analysis
Our model families split, but the ensemble picks Chelsea F.C., rating it at 38.4% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and Everton F.C. won 1 of 10, with 3 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.
They arrive from very different football. Chelsea F.C.'s last 5 produced 26 goals — 5.2 per game; they scored in 4 of them and conceded in 5. Everton F.C.'s 5 produced 8, at 1.6 per game.
What to keep in mind
- Chelsea F.C.'s games are very high-scoring at 5.2 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
Recent form
As of 23 Sep 2026. Kickoff is still 24 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
Everton F.C.: WWDDD
Chelsea F.C.: LDWLW
Head-to-head
As of 23 Sep 2026. Kickoff is still 24 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 10Games
- 2.20Avg goals
- 20%Both scored
- 30%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-21 | Everton F.C. vs Chelsea F.C. | 3–0 |
| 2025-12-13 | Chelsea F.C. vs Everton F.C. | 2–0 |
| 2025-04-26 | Chelsea F.C. vs Everton F.C. | 1–0 |
| 2024-12-22 | Everton F.C. vs Chelsea F.C. | 0–0 |
| 2024-04-15 | Chelsea FC vs Everton | 6–0 |
| 2023-12-10 | Everton vs Chelsea FC | 2–0 |
| 2023-03-18 | Chelsea FC vs Everton | 2–2 |
| 2022-08-06 | Everton vs Chelsea FC | 0–1 |
| 2022-05-01 | Everton vs Chelsea FC | 1–0 |
| 2021-12-16 | Chelsea FC vs Everton | 1–1 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Everton F.C. vs Chelsea F.C.?
- Tofiko's model favours Chelsea F.C. (38% probability), though our model families split on this one.
- What time does Everton F.C. vs Chelsea F.C. kick off?
- Sat, 17 Oct 2026 11:30 GMT — English Premier League.
- What is the Everton F.C. vs Chelsea F.C. head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 6 home wins, 3 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 2.20 goals per game.