Everton F.C.vs
Chelsea F.C.Everton F.C. vs Chelsea F.C. Prediction, H2H & Stats
English Premier LeagueSat, 17 Oct 2026 14:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Chelsea F.C.38%
- Everton F.C. 30%
- Draw 31%
- Chelsea F.C. 38%
Model families: split (goals models vs Elo)
Analysis
Our model families split, but the ensemble picks Chelsea F.C., rating it at 38.4%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and Everton F.C. won 1 of 10, with 3 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
They arrive from very different football. Chelsea F.C.'s last 5 produced 20 goals — 4.0 per game; they scored in 4 of them and conceded in 5. Everton F.C.'s 5 produced 9, at 1.8 per game.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Chelsea F.C.'s games are very high-scoring at 4.0 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
Everton F.C.: WLDWL
Chelsea F.C.: LWLWL
Head-to-head
- 10Games
- 2.20Avg goals
- 20%Both scored
- 30%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-21 | Everton F.C. vs Chelsea F.C. | 3–0 |
| 2025-12-13 | Chelsea F.C. vs Everton F.C. | 2–0 |
| 2025-04-26 | Chelsea F.C. vs Everton F.C. | 1–0 |
| 2024-12-22 | Everton F.C. vs Chelsea F.C. | 0–0 |
| 2024-04-15 | Chelsea FC vs Everton | 6–0 |
| 2023-12-10 | Everton vs Chelsea FC | 2–0 |
| 2023-03-18 | Chelsea FC vs Everton | 2–2 |
| 2022-08-06 | Everton vs Chelsea FC | 0–1 |
| 2022-05-01 | Everton vs Chelsea FC | 1–0 |
| 2021-12-16 | Chelsea FC vs Everton | 1–1 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Everton F.C. vs Chelsea F.C.?
- Tofiko's model favours Chelsea F.C. (38% probability), though our model families split on this one.
- What time does Everton F.C. vs Chelsea F.C. kick off?
- Sat, 17 Oct 2026 14:00 GMT — English Premier League.
- What is the Everton F.C. vs Chelsea F.C. head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 6 home wins, 3 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 2.20 goals per game.