Burnley F.C. crestBurnley F.C.vsBrighton & Hove Albion F.C. crestBrighton & Hove Albion F.C.

Burnley F.C. 0-2 Brighton & Hove Albion F.C. — Result, H2H & Form

English Premier LeagueSat, 11 Apr 2026 14:00 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Brighton & Hove Albion F.C.51%

Tofiko25% / 24% / 51%
Market19% / 22% / 59%
  • Burnley F.C.
  • Draw
  • Brighton & Hove Albion F.C.

Our number and the market's own, side by side. Where they differ most, our record has been worst, so a difference is not a tip.

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✓ Model called this one correctly.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick Brighton & Hove Albion F.C., rating it at 50.8% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 8 times, and Burnley F.C. won none of them. Across 8 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.

They arrive from very different football. Brighton & Hove Albion F.C.'s last 5 produced 22 goals — 4.4 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 3. Burnley F.C.'s 5 produced 13, at 2.6 per game.

What to keep in mind

  • Brighton & Hove Albion F.C.'s games are very high-scoring at 4.4 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.

Recent form

As of 23 Sep 2026.

Burnley F.C.: DLDLD

Brighton & Hove Albion F.C.: WWWDL

Head-to-head

As of 23 Sep 2026.

  • 8Games
  • 2.00Avg goals
  • 50%Both scored
  • 25%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-04-11Burnley F.C. vs Brighton & Hove Albion F.C.0–2
2026-01-03Brighton & Hove Albion F.C. vs Burnley F.C.2–0
2024-04-13Burnley vs Brighton & Hove Albion1–1
2023-12-09Brighton & Hove Albion vs Burnley1–1
2022-02-19Brighton & Hove Albion vs Burnley0–3
2021-08-14Burnley vs Brighton & Hove Albion1–2
2021-02-06Burnley vs Brighton & Hove Albion1–1
2020-11-06Brighton & Hove Albion vs Burnley0–0

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FAQ

Who will win Burnley F.C. vs Brighton & Hove Albion F.C.?
Tofiko's model favours Brighton & Hove Albion F.C. (51% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Burnley F.C. vs Brighton & Hove Albion F.C. kick off?
Sat, 11 Apr 2026 14:00 GMT — English Premier League.
What is the Burnley F.C. vs Brighton & Hove Albion F.C. head-to-head record?
In their last 8 meetings: 1 home wins, 4 draws, 3 away wins, averaging 2.00 goals per game.

More predictions

Line-ups are not included; check them an hour before kick-off.

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First legBrighton 2-0 Burnley3 Jan 2026 →