Deportivo Alavesvs
Athletic BilbaoDeportivo Alaves vs Athletic Bilbao Prediction, H2H & Form
La LigaSun, 07 Mar 2027 17:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Athletic Bilbao37%
- Deportivo Alaves
- Draw
- Athletic Bilbao
Model families: split (goals models vs Elo)
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Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.
Double Chance
- Deportivo Alaves or draw63%
- Draw or Athletic Bilbao70%
- Deportivo Alaves or Athletic Bilbao67%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
- Over 2.537%
- Under 2.563%
Both teams to score
- Deportivo Alaves, last 10 home games5 of 10
- Athletic Bilbao, last 10 away games2 of 10
- League rate, last 12 months (380 games)56%
Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.
Analysis
Our model families split, but the ensemble picks Athletic Bilbao, rating it at 36.9% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and Deportivo Alaves won 1 of 10, with 4 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.
They arrive from very different football. Deportivo Alaves's last 5 produced 14 goals — 2.8 per game; they scored in 3 of them and conceded in 4. Athletic Bilbao's 5 produced 6, at 1.2 per game.
Recent form
As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 145 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
Deportivo Alaves: LDLLW
Athletic Bilbao: DWDDW
Head-to-head
As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 145 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 10Games
- 1.50Avg goals
- 20%Both scored
- 10%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-19 | Athletic Bilbao vs Deportivo Alaves | 0–0 |
| 2026-05-02 | Deportivo Alaves vs Athletic Bilbao | 2–4 |
| 2025-09-13 | Athletic Bilbao vs Deportivo Alaves | 0–1 |
| 2025-05-11 | Athletic Bilbao vs Deportivo Alaves | 1–0 |
| 2024-12-15 | Deportivo Alaves vs Athletic Bilbao | 1–1 |
| 2024-03-16 | Athletic Bilbao vs Alaves | 2–0 |
| 2023-09-22 | Alaves vs Athletic Bilbao | 0–2 |
| 2022-01-09 | Alaves vs Athletic Bilbao | 0–0 |
| 2021-10-01 | Athletic Bilbao vs Alaves | 1–0 |
| 2021-04-10 | Athletic Bilbao vs Alaves | 0–0 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Deportivo Alaves vs Athletic Bilbao?
- Tofiko's model favours Athletic Bilbao (37% probability), though our model families split on this one.
- What time does Deportivo Alaves vs Athletic Bilbao kick off?
- Sun, 07 Mar 2027 17:00 GMT — La Liga.
- What is the Deportivo Alaves vs Athletic Bilbao head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 3 home wins, 4 draws, 3 away wins, averaging 1.50 goals per game.