Deportivo Alavesvs
Girona FCDeportivo Alaves vs Girona FC Prediction, H2H & Stats
La LigaMon, 23 Feb 2026 20:00 GMTStatus: finished
Final: Deportivo Alaves 2–2 Girona FC
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Girona FC41%
- Deportivo Alaves 35%
- Draw 24%
- Girona FC 41%
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Create a free accountModel families: split (goals models vs Elo)
✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.
Analysis
Our model families split, but the ensemble picks Girona FC, rating it at 40.6%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 7 times, and Deportivo Alaves won 2 of 7, with 2 drawn. Across 7 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
The model puts the draw at 24.1%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
Deportivo Alaves: WWDLW
Girona FC: LDLWD
Head-to-head
- 7Games
- 2.14Avg goals
- 29%Both scored
- 43%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-25 | Girona FC vs Deportivo Alaves | 0–1 |
| 2026-02-23 | Deportivo Alaves vs Girona FC | 2–2 |
| 2025-11-08 | Girona FC vs Deportivo Alaves | 1–0 |
| 2025-04-05 | Girona FC vs Deportivo Alaves | 0–1 |
| 2025-01-11 | Deportivo Alaves vs Girona FC | 0–1 |
| 2024-05-10 | Alaves vs Girona | 2–2 |
| 2023-12-18 | Girona vs Alaves | 3–0 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Deportivo Alaves vs Girona FC?
- Tofiko's model favours Girona FC (41% probability), though our model families split on this one.
- What time does Deportivo Alaves vs Girona FC kick off?
- Mon, 23 Feb 2026 20:00 GMT — La Liga.
- What is the Deportivo Alaves vs Girona FC head-to-head record?
- In their last 7 meetings: 2 home wins, 2 draws, 3 away wins, averaging 2.14 goals per game.