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Villarreal CF crestVillarreal CFvsElche CF crestElche CF

Villarreal CF vs Elche CF Prediction, H2H & Stats

La LigaSun, 18 Oct 2026 15:00 GMTStatus: scheduled

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Villarreal CF68%

Villarreal CF 68%
Draw 21%
Elche CF 11%
  • Villarreal CF 68%
  • Draw 21%
  • Elche CF 11%

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

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Analysis

Both model families pick Villarreal CF, rating it at 67.8%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 8 times, and Villarreal CF won 2 of 8, with 2 drawn. Across 8 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.

The model puts the draw at 21.1%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

Villarreal CF: LDWWL

Elche CF: DDDWD

Head-to-head

  • 8Games
  • 3.13Avg goals
  • 63%Both scored
  • 75%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-03-08Villarreal CF vs Elche CF2–1
2026-01-03Elche CF vs Villarreal CF1–3
2023-02-04Elche vs Villarreal3–1
2022-09-04Villarreal vs Elche4–0
2022-01-16Elche vs Villarreal1–0
2021-09-22Villarreal vs Elche4–1
2021-02-06Elche vs Villarreal2–2
2020-12-06Villarreal vs Elche0–0

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win Villarreal CF vs Elche CF?
Tofiko's model favours Villarreal CF (68% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Villarreal CF vs Elche CF kick off?
Sun, 18 Oct 2026 15:00 GMT — La Liga.
What is the Villarreal CF vs Elche CF head-to-head record?
In their last 8 meetings: 5 home wins, 2 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 3.13 goals per game.

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