Malaga CFvs
Real SociedadMalaga CF vs Real Sociedad Prediction, H2H & Form
La LigaSun, 18 Oct 2026 16:30 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Real Sociedad45%
- Malaga CF
- Draw
- Real Sociedad
Model families: split (goals models vs Elo)
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Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.
Double Chance
- Malaga CF or draw55%
- Draw or Real Sociedad71%
- Malaga CF or Real Sociedad74%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
- Over 2.534%
- Under 2.566%
Both teams to score
- Malaga CF, last 10 home games8 of 10
- Real Sociedad, last 10 away games9 of 10
- League rate, last 12 months (380 games)56%
Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.
Analysis
Our model families split, but the ensemble picks Real Sociedad, rating it at 44.6% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
They arrive from very different football. Real Sociedad's last 5 produced 17 goals — 3.4 per game; they scored in 3 of them and conceded in 5. Malaga CF's 5 produced 9, at 1.8 per game.
What to keep in mind
- Our number and the market's own, side by side. Where they differ most, our record has been worst, so a difference is not a tip.
Recent form
As of 14 Oct 2026.
Malaga CF: DLLDD
Real Sociedad: WLWLL
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Malaga CF vs Real Sociedad?
- Tofiko's model favours Real Sociedad (45% probability), though our model families split on this one.
- What time does Malaga CF vs Real Sociedad kick off?
- Sun, 18 Oct 2026 16:30 GMT — La Liga.