Valencia CFvs
Athletic BilbaoValencia CF vs Athletic Bilbao Prediction, H2H & Stats
La LigaSun, 18 Oct 2026 15:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Valencia CF37%
- Valencia CF 37%
- Draw 33%
- Athletic Bilbao 29%
Model families: split (goals models vs Elo)
Analysis
Our model families split, but the ensemble picks Valencia CF, rating it at 37.3%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and Valencia CF won 3 of 10, with 3 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
They arrive from very different football. Athletic Bilbao's last 5 produced 23 goals — 4.6 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 1. Valencia CF's 5 produced 15, at 3.0 per game.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Athletic Bilbao's games are very high-scoring at 4.6 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
Valencia CF: DWLWL
Athletic Bilbao: WWDWW
Head-to-head
- 10Games
- 1.60Avg goals
- 30%Both scored
- 20%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-10 | Athletic Bilbao vs Valencia CF | 0–1 |
| 2025-09-20 | Valencia CF vs Athletic Bilbao | 2–0 |
| 2025-05-18 | Valencia CF vs Athletic Bilbao | 0–1 |
| 2024-08-28 | Athletic Bilbao vs Valencia CF | 1–0 |
| 2024-01-20 | Valencia CF vs Athletic Bilbao | 1–0 |
| 2023-10-29 | Athletic Bilbao vs Valencia CF | 2–2 |
| 2023-02-11 | Valencia CF vs Athletic Bilbao | 1–2 |
| 2022-08-21 | Athletic Bilbao vs Valencia CF | 1–0 |
| 2022-05-07 | Athletic Bilbao vs Valencia CF | 0–0 |
| 2021-09-25 | Valencia CF vs Athletic Bilbao | 1–1 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Valencia CF vs Athletic Bilbao?
- Tofiko's model favours Valencia CF (37% probability), though our model families split on this one.
- What time does Valencia CF vs Athletic Bilbao kick off?
- Sun, 18 Oct 2026 15:00 GMT — La Liga.
- What is the Valencia CF vs Athletic Bilbao head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 4 home wins, 3 draws, 3 away wins, averaging 1.60 goals per game.