Valencia CFvs
Athletic BilbaoValencia CF vs Athletic Bilbao Prediction, H2H & Form
La LigaSat, 17 Oct 2026 19:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Valencia CF38%
- Valencia CF
- Draw
- Athletic Bilbao
Model families: split (goals models vs Elo)
Free. Saves this pick to My Picks, settles it when the match ends, and can email you an hour before kick-off and with the result — if you say yes.
More markets
Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.
Double Chance
- Valencia CF or draw65%
- Draw or Athletic Bilbao62%
- Valencia CF or Athletic Bilbao74%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
- Over 2.539%
- Under 2.561%
Both teams to score
- Valencia CF, last 10 home games5 of 10
- Athletic Bilbao, last 10 away games2 of 10
- League rate, last 12 months (380 games)56%
Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.
Analysis
Our model families split, but the ensemble picks Valencia CF, rating it at 38.3% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and Valencia CF won 3 of 10, with 3 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.
They arrive from very different football. Valencia CF's last 5 produced 16 goals — 3.2 per game; they scored in 3 of them and conceded in 4. Athletic Bilbao's 5 produced 6, at 1.2 per game.
What to keep in mind
- Our number and the market's own, side by side. Where they differ most, our record has been worst, so a difference is not a tip.
Recent form
As of 13 Oct 2026.
Valencia CF: DLWLL
Athletic Bilbao: DWDDW
Head-to-head
As of 13 Oct 2026.
- 10Games
- 1.60Avg goals
- 30%Both scored
- 20%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-10 | Athletic Bilbao vs Valencia CF | 0–1 |
| 2025-09-20 | Valencia CF vs Athletic Bilbao | 2–0 |
| 2025-05-18 | Valencia CF vs Athletic Bilbao | 0–1 |
| 2024-08-28 | Athletic Bilbao vs Valencia CF | 1–0 |
| 2024-01-20 | Valencia CF vs Athletic Bilbao | 1–0 |
| 2023-10-29 | Athletic Bilbao vs Valencia CF | 2–2 |
| 2023-02-11 | Valencia CF vs Athletic Bilbao | 1–2 |
| 2022-08-21 | Athletic Bilbao vs Valencia CF | 1–0 |
| 2022-05-07 | Athletic Bilbao vs Valencia CF | 0–0 |
| 2021-09-25 | Valencia CF vs Athletic Bilbao | 1–1 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Valencia CF vs Athletic Bilbao?
- Tofiko's model favours Valencia CF (38% probability), though our model families split on this one.
- What time does Valencia CF vs Athletic Bilbao kick off?
- Sat, 17 Oct 2026 19:00 GMT — La Liga.
- What is the Valencia CF vs Athletic Bilbao head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 4 home wins, 3 draws, 3 away wins, averaging 1.60 goals per game.