RCD Espanyolvs
Atletico MadridRCD Espanyol vs Atletico Madrid Prediction, H2H & Form
La LigaSat, 17 Oct 2026 12:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Our pick
Atletico Madrid to win55%
1X2: model backs Atletico Madrid at 55%.
- RCD Espanyol
- Draw
- Atletico Madrid
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
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Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.
Double Chance
- RCD Espanyol or draw45%
- Draw or Atletico Madrid78%
- RCD Espanyol or Atletico Madrid78%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
- Over 2.553%
- Under 2.547%
Both teams to score
- RCD Espanyol, last 10 home games5 of 10
- Atletico Madrid, last 10 away games8 of 10
- League rate, last 12 months (380 games)56%
Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.
Analysis
Both model families pick Atletico Madrid, rating it at 55.5% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 8 times, and RCD Espanyol won 1 of 8, with 4 drawn. Across 8 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.
What to keep in mind
- Our number and the market's own, side by side. Where they differ most, our record has been worst, so a difference is not a tip.
Recent form
As of 13 Oct 2026.
RCD Espanyol: DLLWD
Atletico Madrid: WWWWW
Head-to-head
As of 13 Oct 2026.
- 8Games
- 3.13Avg goals
- 88%Both scored
- 63%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-21 | Atletico Madrid vs RCD Espanyol | 4–2 |
| 2025-08-17 | RCD Espanyol vs Atletico Madrid | 2–1 |
| 2025-03-29 | RCD Espanyol vs Atletico Madrid | 1–1 |
| 2024-08-28 | Atletico Madrid vs RCD Espanyol | 0–0 |
| 2023-05-24 | Espanyol vs Atletico Madrid | 3–3 |
| 2022-11-06 | Atletico Madrid vs Espanyol | 1–1 |
| 2022-04-17 | Atletico Madrid vs Espanyol | 2–1 |
| 2021-09-12 | Espanyol vs Atletico Madrid | 1–2 |
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FAQ
- Who will win RCD Espanyol vs Atletico Madrid?
- Tofiko's model favours Atletico Madrid (55% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does RCD Espanyol vs Atletico Madrid kick off?
- Sat, 17 Oct 2026 12:00 GMT — La Liga.
- What is the RCD Espanyol vs Atletico Madrid head-to-head record?
- In their last 8 meetings: 3 home wins, 4 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 3.13 goals per game.